On This Date In History: In July of 1947, the United States Air Force first reported that personnel had found parts of a flying disc near Roswell, NM. A furor of space invasion fever took ahold of America. So the USAF changed their story to say….uh….its a weather balloon. How one can confuse a disc with a balloon is not clear. But, it was their story and they stuck to it….after they didn’t stick with the first story. Many didn’t believe them. So fifty years later, on this date in 1997, they tried to explain it again. This time they said it was a result of several aircraft accidents combined with some balloon experiments that involved life sized dummies. I don’t think too many people still believe them and certainly not those who have made a small cottage business out of the tale. If the story would go away, who would go to the Space Aliens diner or buy all of those space alien t’shirts?
And certainly the UFO sightings have not gone away as they continue to this day. In 2008 there were several reports from Stephenville, TX of extremely fast moving aircraft that was indescribable to numerous witnesses. Just a couple of days ago, in North Devon, UK witnesses reported strange lights in the sky. But, those reports were possibly explained by a toy store owner, of all people. Apparently they had sold a lot of Chinese lanterns that are used for weddings and other events. In good weather it is said that they can float a few miles into the sky before falling back to earth. But, earlier in June 2009, the crew of a Mexican airliner reported a UFO racing across their flightpath. They reprted it as “spherical traffic.” Gotta like that. Apparently, there have been an increasing number of UFO reports from flights in and out of Mexico City.
Tracking UFO’s has really been great sport on the internet. Here’s a guy who updates UFO reports all across the USA. How about a photo gallery of UFO’s? Here’s another that claims to have the “Latest UFO Alien Paranormal News.” Now one might speculate that all of this reporting that really picked up after the Roswell Incident in 1947 is simply a result of more human activity in the atmosphere in the form of balloons and aircraft as well as military experiments that ballooned following World War II and the discovery of the utility of aircraft in warfare and commercial purposes. That probably explains a whole bunch of these sightings. Trouble is that many say that UFO reports were coming in almost as long as man has been around. This site shows a bunch of ancient artwork that is supposedly some sort of circumstantial proof rather than an artisian’s creative mind. My favorite is the one from Kiev with the guy who looks like he has a trash can on his head. Then there have been observers who for years have claimed that there is a UFO painted on the Mona Lisa.
There is no question that there are UFO’s in that they are simply objects that are unidentified. Sorta like Global Warming. Data shows that recorded temperatures are getting warmer within the limitations of data collection but the question really is whether or not we are causing it and if we can or should do anything about it. Well, the objects are unidentified and the question is whether or not they are other-worldly or if they are simply unidentified explainable events like the Chinese lanterns in Great Britain. But, when the government comes up with four explanations for something like the Roswell Incident like Maxwell Smart (“would you believe life sized dummies?”) giving multiple explanations to the Chief, then it raises lots of red flags and the smell test can’t even be measured, let alone passed.
On this date in 1969, the US was without a Chief Justice. Earl Warren resigned his position. He is well remembered for his commission investigating the JFK assasination. His conclusion left almost as many people in disbelief as did the Roswell incident, giving rise to cottage industries invoking the name of conspiracy. He had been a Republican governor of California who was appointed Chief Justice by President Eisenhower. But, he ended up not being the type of justice Eisenhower had thought, leaving Ike to exclaim that it was “the biggest damned-fool mistake I ever made.”
One thing about Warren that many popular culture sources do not reveal is that while Warren was Governor of California during WWII, he had strongly advised President Roosevelt to pursue the course of internment of Japanese Americans. Thats why its always good to check multiple sources or read several books on a particular topic as there are some authors who only want you to know what they want you to know. Some call it lies by omission.
Weather Bottom Line: The story is generally the same with a little wrinkle. The ridge will break down sufficiently to perhaps allow for some thunderstorm activity this evening as a weak frontal boundary sneaks down. The difference is that the data has taken off the table the notion that there will be a shortwave coming through the flow. That was the main catalyst for strong storms. As it stands now, we will just have the boundary itself running into the moist environment with the heat of the day to work with. For that reason, the SPC has narrowed the severe risk area a bit to reflect the timing of the boundary in relation to night time cooling. A stronger front on Sunday or so may be a bit more exciting.
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2009
VALID 251300Z – 261200Z
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MID MS VLY ENE TO THE
LWR GRT LKS…
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER WRN PARTS OF THE CNTRL
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF CNTRL AND NRN
DOMINANT UPR RDG WILL REMAIN OVER THE SRN/CNTRL PLNS THROUGH FRI.
IN THE WAKE OF AMPLIFYING TROUGH NOW OVER THE UPR GRT LKS…AND
DOWNSTREAM FROM TROUGH NOW OVER BC/WA…EXPECT THE RDG TO
TEMPORARILY BUILD N ACROSS THE NRN PLNS. ON THE IMMEDIATE NE SIDE
OF THE RDG…WEAK IMPULSE THAT CROSSED THE DAKOTAS YESTERDAY IS NOW
OVER IA. THIS FEATURE SHOULD TURN MORE SSE TODAY AND REACH THE LWR
OH/LWR TN VLY TONIGHT. IN THE WEST…BC/WA TROUGH APPEARS TO HAVE
DISLODGED LONG-LIVED LOW OFF THE SRN CA CST. THE CA LOW SHOULD MOVE
ACROSS CNTRL/SRN CA LATER TODAY…AND SHEAR NE ACROSS THE GRT BASIN
WITH THE PRIMARY BELT OF THE WLYS REMAINING IN CANADA…FEATURES AT
LWR LVLS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK ACROSS THE U.S. TWO DIFFUSE
CONFLUENCE AXES ARE APPARENT ATTM OVER THE N CNTRL STATES…
EXTENDING FROM SRN MN/IA/WI/NRN IL ENE INTO WRN QUEBEC. THESE
FEATURES ARE LOOSELY ASSOCIATED WITH UPR GRT LKS UPR TROUGH AND
SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY ESE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE WRN PARTS OF
THESE BOUNDARIES WILL REDEVELOP N AS A WEAK WARM FRONT ACROSS CNTRL
NEB AND THE WRN DAKOTAS LATER TODAY AS A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED FRONTAL
SYSTEM EVOLVES OVER THE NRN RCKYS/NRN HI PLNS AHEAD OF BC/WA
…MID MS VLY ENE TO THE LWR GRT LKS…
AFOREMENTIONED LOW LVL CONFLUENCE AXES/WEAK COLD FRONTS LIKELY WILL
SERVE TO FOCUS DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORM DEVELOPMENT. BECAUSE
CONVERGENCE ALONG THESE FEATURES WILL BE WEAK AND PARTLY DISRUPTED
BY OUTFLOW FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS…AND BECAUSE THE
STRONGEST LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL REMAIN IN CANADA…
STORM DEVELOPMENT MAY BEGIN SOMEWHAT HAPHAZARDLY AS SFC HEATING
IRREGULARLY DESTABILIZES THE REGION. BY MID TO LATE AFTN…HOWEVER
…EXPECT THAT SEVERAL LOOSELY-ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF STORMS WILL
HAVE EVOLVED FROM PARTS OF ERN IA/IL AND SRN WI E INTO PARTS OF
IND…LWR MI…OH…NW PA AND WRN NY.
AMPLE INSTABILITY WILL EXIST FOR STORMS WITH SVR HAIL/WIND…
ESPECIALLY FROM IA/IL/MO INTO SRN MI/OH…WHERE SBCAPE SHOULD BE AOA
3000 J/KG. STRONGER MEAN FLOW AND FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD
COMPENSATE TO SUPPORT LONG-LIVED/POSSIBLY ROTATING UPDRAFTS FARTHER
N/E ACROSS MI/SRN ONTARIO AND NY.
PERSISTENT FORCING FOR ASCENT /PARTICULARLY UPR DIVERGENCE/ AND
STRENGTHENING WSWLY LOW LVL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH AMPLIFYING UPR
TROUGH SUGGEST THAT SOME OF THE STORMS/STORM CLUSTERS WILL REMAIN
ACTIVE INTO TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF NY/PA.
FARTHER SW…A SEPARATE…MORE DIURNAL CLUSTER OF STORMS MAY EVOLVE
OVER MO…IN ASSOCIATION WITH IMPULSE NOW IN IA. WIND AND STABILITY
FIELDS SUGGEST THAT SUCH A CLUSTER…WERE IT TO FORM…SHOULD MOVE
MAINLY SSEWD. EMBEDDED STORMS COULD YIELD A FEW SPOTS OF SVR
WIND/HAIL GIVEN HI PWS AND STRONG SFC HEATING EXPECTED.
…WRN PARTS OF THE CNTRL PLNS…
LOW LVL WAA SHOULD INCREASE OVER WRN PARTS OF THE CNTRL/NRN PLNS
LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AS WEAK WARM FRONT REDEVELOPS NWD AHEAD
OF APPROACHING UPR TROUGH. CURRENT WV IMAGERY IN THE REGION
PROVIDES MIXED SIGNALS REGARDING POTENTIAL FOR SVR STORM
DEVELOPMENT. VARIOUS WEAK DISTURBANCES ARE APPARENT IN BAND OF FLOW
ON WRN FRINGE OF UPR RDG…BUT HEIGHTS MAY RISE SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF
NEVERTHELESS…GIVEN MOISTURE ALREADY PRESENT OVER REGION AND THE
LIKELIHOOD FOR STRONG SFC HEATING/DEVELOPMENT OF TERRAIN INDUCED
CIRCULATIONS TODAY…IT SEEMS THAT A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR SVR
AFTN/EVE WILL EXIST FROM NE CO/SE WY INTO WRN NEB AND PERHAPS SW SD.
GIVEN 25+ KT DEEP WLY SHEAR AND STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ…SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY EVOLVE INTO A SMALL CLUSTER OR TWO THIS EVE…MOST LIKELY
IN NEB. THIS ACTIVITY MAY YIELD A CONTINUING THREAT FOR DMGG WIND
AND POSSIBLY HAIL THROUGH EARLY FRI.
STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH BC/WA TROUGH WILL MOVE ESE
ACROSS CNTRL MT TODAY/TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH LOW LVL MOISTURE WILL BE
SPARSE…STEEP LOW TO MID LVL LAPSE RATES…INCREASING
CONVERGENCE/FRONTAL ASCENT…AND DPVA SUGGEST A GOOD CHANCE FOR
STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG FRONT LATE THIS AFTN/EARLY TONIGHT. LARGE
TEMPERATURE-DEW POINT SPREADS AND FAIRLY STRONG BACKGROUND WIND
FIELD /40-50 KT WSW FLOW AT 500 MB/ COULD YIELD A THREAT FOR A FEW
SVR WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY SVR HAIL.