Three Outlaws Showed America’s Early Independent Streak
January 29, 2010

Three Outlaws Who Were No One's Stooge

This Chuck Lost His Head
This Chuck Lost His Head

On This Date in History:

In 1649, there was a bit of a revolution going on in England.  Oliver Cromwell had led a revolt against the monarchy and, on this date in 1649, 59 people signed the death warrant for King Charles I who was later executed. Now, the little turnabout didn’t last long and by 1660, the House of Stuart returned to the throne in the form of King Charles II. The second Chuck called for an amnesty for all who had played a role in his father losing his head except for three men. Edward Whalley was the cousin of Oliver Cromwell and he led an army during the uprising. He and two of his officers, John Dixwell and William Goffe, signed the document with the other 56 signers. Sensing that there was a new sherrif in town, the trio decided it was best to get out of Dodge. Dixwell went to Prussia while Goffe and Whalley set sail for Boston in the New World. Goffe and Whalley did nothing to disguise themselves and made no apologies for their actions when they landed in America.

This Chuck Lost The Fugitives

This Chuck Lost The Fugitives

Chuck the younger was pretty non-plussed at the prospects of the men hiding out in the colonies and mocking his authority so he posted a pretty hefty reward for their capture. By the time an arrest warrant had made its way through the formalities, Goffe and Whalley had lit out. Off to New Haven they went where they were welcomed with open arms as they had been in Boston. But, hot on their trails was a pair of gumshoes who were loyal to the king. Even at this early time in America’s history, there was some resistance to the crown as the deputy governor of the colony was slow and was uncooperative in keeping the matter a secret. I suppose the outlaws got tipped off because they used the time bought by the authorities fumbling to escape again, this time to a cave where a farmer quietly left food for them every day.

Hadley As Quiet Today As in 18th Century

Seems Whalley and Goffe had lots of helpers who were sympathetic to their cause and they continued to get assistance wherever they went. At one point, they wanted to surrender but their advocates would not hear of it. After 4 years of futility, Charles II had enough and he sent troops to Boston to try and grab the boys on the lam. But they had moved again to Hadley, Massachusetts. While they lived in freedom in Hadley, their comrad Dixwell had left Prussia and moved to Connecticut where he disguised himself as a retired merchant. He died there in 1688. Meanwhile. Goffe and Whalley continued to live openly but did use subterfuge to communicate with their families back in the home country. Whalley never was caught and, like Dixwell, died peacefully and free in 1674.

Goffe Rallies the Town

Goffe Rallies the Town

Goffe was another matter. The story is that while the citizenry of Hadley, including some of the king’s men, were attending church when Indians attacked. From out of nowhere, a old bearded man showed up. He organized and led the town’s defense. When the danger had passed, the senior citizen disappeared as mysteriously as he had appeared. Some good loyalists spotted Goffe in Hartford and promptly reported it to authorities who refused to arrest him. Goffe died in 1679.

Seems old Chuck never did get satisfaction for his father’s death and I suppose the “bad guys” ended up getting the last laugh. This perhaps illustrates that America’s independent streak had begun almost as soon as the Pilgrims landed on Plymouth Rock. One hundred years after the death of the last elusive signer of the death warrant of King Charles I, the American colonies were in full revolt and revolution against the King George III…who was about as successful with America as Chuck the Second.

00Z Fri Snowfall through Saturday-Tune Change-Nothing for Louisville!

Fri 00Z GFS Snow through Saturday-Not too much

Weather Bottom Line:  I’ve been warning of the potential of getting nothing out of this. I said it was possible, not necessarily probable and I’ve been sticking with the 4 inch forecast I came up with about 4 days ago.  Well, what seemed not probable somehow has gone to the possible and maybe even close to probable.  I noticed today that our dewpoint was 8 degrees.  That is extremely dry.  I also noticed our wind was out of the northeast with a storm approaching from the west. Ordinarily, one might think of winds with a southerly component.  Well, what we have is a big fat ridge to our northwest that is driving in dry air.  That is what is keeping the freezing line or critical temperature lines to our south.  But, it also means that as moisture gets shoved up over the top of the cold airmass, then it will take a long time to saturate the column. In other words, anything that falls will evaporate.  The system is so far to the south and the moisture expected to be tossed up so minimal that the 00Z Friday NAM has zero snow.  At 9 pm on Friday, at about 6000 feet, the model claims that the dewpoint will still be about 35 below zero.  That is bone dry.  It is suggesting that there simply isn’t enough moisture to saturate the column.  The 00Z GFS is very similar though it does toss out something less than a quarter inch…probably closer to a tenth of an inch.   I still don’t see how we get above freezing on Sunday either.

NWS Louisville Late Thursday Snow Forecast-Don't be Surprised to see this change during the day on Friday

So, is this a slam dunk?  No, but its getting pretty close. Time is running out and there is sufficient real observable evidence to support this lame scenario.  We do have low level northeasterly winds and we do have low surface dewpoints.  Those are facts.  It seems to me that the only thing that can overcome those obstacles will be if the low tracks farther north.  So, I’d say we’re left with the possible, not probable scenario for the low tracking farther north and therefore, any decent snow chances in Louisville being possible not probable.  Now, we must keep in mind that this is a pretty dramatic shift from model runs of just 12 hours prior but it has been part of a trend of decreasing snow amounts.  What makes me believe this is real is that we have physical evidence right now that is actually going on and not just on some computer that supports the lesser snow solution.   From where I sit early Friday morning…we may not get much of anything in the Metro area.  Farther south? Sure.  Louisville though is not looking too promising.  I bet we don’t get nothing, but I’m afraid my 4 inch stake in the sand needs to be yanked out and put away for another time.  It’s still a tough call but evidence is mounting.  We’ll see.  

(EDIT FRIDAY MIDDAY)  The NWS has 1-3 inches areawide for Friday night through early afternoon on Saturday for area. Specificlaly for Louisville they are calling for less than an inch on Friday night and then a 30% chance of snow on Saturday.  Hmmm…seems like to me that they get to have it both ways…pretty smart because they can claim victory more easily that way.  Anyway, the 12Z GFS still has nothing.  The 12Z NAM went back to its old ways and claims something like 2.5 inches.  Two things this does is illustrate how difficult this forecast is and how tight the snow gradient will be.  With the dry air in place and the northeasterly flow, I still think we won’t get nothing in Louisville but probably wont’ get a huge amount of snow either…lets say .75 inches to 1.5 inches.  I do hope I’m wrong though and somehow the column gets saturated and we get a whole bunch…but it just seems to be a pretty tough situation for that to unfold.

Take Moe Because Smoot and Hawley Spell Disaster
May 4, 2009

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Famous Photo May 4, 1970

Famous Photo May 4, 1970

On This Date In History: On this date in 1970, four Kent State students protesting the Viet Nam War were killed by National Guardsman. But I don’t want to talk about that.   President Lincoln was buried on this date in 1865 and David Frost interviewed President Nixon on this date in 1975, but I don’t want to talk about those items either.  This one is a bit more timely as it relates to those who want to have “buy American” become the policy of the United States and to curtail NAFTA and other various free trade agreements. 

Nice Going Boys

Nice Going Boys

On this date in 1930, 1028 economists petitioned Congress warning them against the Smoot-Hawley Act.  America was reeling from the 1929 stock market crash and so President Hoover and other politicians thought it was a grand idea to put a huge tariff on imported goods with the idea that it would promote the sale of American goods domestically and help turn the economy around.  The economists argued that high duties would effectively shut down foreign trade and create the exact opposite result intended.  But, politicians often do what sounds good to the public rather than take the time to explain why what sounds good is often wrong-headed.  Smoot-Hawley passed, foreign trade dried up and the result was the Great Depression.  Nice going. 

Global Trade Collapsed After Smoot Hawley

Global Trade Collapsed After Smoot Hawley

Many scholars point to the Smoot-Hawley Act as the cause of everything, though that’s probably not entirely true.  However, consider that the market crashed in October 1929 just shortly after Smoot-Hawley was passed. It took months for Hoover to think about it but when he finally did sign the bill in mid 1930, then the economy really tanked and didn’t really recover until the US got into World War II.   But, I really didn’t want to talk too much about all of that either…

Maybe the Detroit Lions Could Use These Guys

Maybe the Detroit Lions Could Use These Guys

What I really wanted to talk about was Moe.  Moe Howard departed this earth on this date in 1975.  He was, of course, the ring-leader of The Three Stooges.  Not only was he in charge on the screen but also in real life.  His real name was Harry Moses Horwitz and was born on June 19, 1897.  He teamed with older brother Samuel (Shemp) and younger brother Jerome (Curly) along with Larry Fine to form the stooges, an act that had its roots in vaudeville in the early 1920’s.  Larry and Moe teamed with a rotating third stooge due to health issues and the ultimate death of Curly in 1952.  But the act went on in various forms through the 1960’s and continues today in various mediums. 

One of my favorite stories about the stooges regards Moe’s hair.  Apparently his mother was so enthralled with his hair that she wouldn’t cut it and it often fell to shoulder length.  Moe grew tired of being teased at school so he and a chum got a bowl and some scissors and performed surgery on his hair, leaving him with the mop that remained his style for the rest of his life. 

3 Unique Hairdoes

3 Unique Hairdoes

The Three Stooges are a remarkable part of popular culture in that it transcended time.  Throughout the 20th century there are probably very few entertainment acts that one could go to a kid from any time and ask if they knew who they were and what they did.  If you could transport a kid, regardless of race, ethnicity or social status, from the 1930’s to the 1990’s one of the few things they would have in common would be that they knew the funny noises the Curly made or that Moe called everyone “Porcupine.”  Given the rapid rate of change in culture, society and technology over that time span, it’s really something else if you think about it.  Now, there is a new movie about the Three Stooges beginning production soon with Sean Penn as Larry, Jim Carrey as Curly and Benicio Del Toro as Moe.  Carrey is going to gain 40 pounds to take on the role but, it seems to me that while Penn is short, Carrey is pretty tall.  I think they’re going to have to do some computer work like they did in Lord of the Rings.  Not sure how tall Del Toro is but I do know that the stooges were little short guys.  The only way of making this work is for the movie to be about the stooges and not show much of their acts because you can’t recreate the stooges, but you can tell their story.

If you want to read more about Moe, here is a link.  It’s even got a way to buy the poster of the photo above along with other trinkets!

Clown Ministry-Moe Howard Biography

 

Severe Threat Wed 8am to Thu 8am

Severe Threat Wed 8am to Thu 8am

Weather Bottom Line: The forecast is right on track and holding steady.   Monday featured predawn showers with some malingering showers throughout the morning and then generally cloudy skies for the afternoon as a wave moved off to the east along a frontal boundary to our south.  As mentioned yesterday, Look for some sunshine on Tuesday and moderating temperatures as the system moves to the east…but…the front that came through will be on the way back as a warm front as an area of low pressure forms in the Southern Plains.  That low will drag the boundary and the soupy air back our direction. 

That means rain returns on Wednesday.  The SPC woke up and put the slight risk area from generally the Ohio River and points to the southeast.  The idea here is that the low tracks up along and ahead of a cold front pressing our way from the northwest.  Louisville will be on the edge of the warm air clashing with the front but points to the east should be set up better for severe action as the low drags the warmer air north prior to the front’s arrival.   So, it’s possible for some strong stuff here on Wednesday but my guess is that it would be more likely to our east…say from Lexington and south and east of there…as they would have gotten the warm moist air in the morning and then afternoon heating and then the cold front…while in Louisville it would be the warm air coming right about the same time as the front…however….Louisville will have the cold pocket aloft with the low moving over the  top of us.  That could spell some problems…and…if the low is faster than advertised then that could create some problems..hence, Louisville is in the slight risk area.

Right now it still looks like we do it all again for the end of the week with Thursday not being too bad and then another low swinging out of the southwest dragging back the warm front ahead of a cold front on Friday. 

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0236 AM CDT MON MAY 04 2009
  
   VALID 061200Z – 071200Z
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL/SRN
   APPALACHIANS SWWD TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY/E TX…
  
   …CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS SWWD TO LOWER MS VALLEY/ERN TX…
   MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS WITH A
   TROUGH TRACKING EWD FROM THE OZARKS/LOWER MO VALLEY TO THE SRN/
   CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND UPPER OH VALLEY BY 12Z THURSDAY.
   HOWEVER…MODELS DIFFER IN THE AMPLIFICATION AND ORIENTATION OF THIS
   TROUGH BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD…WITH THE NAM/NAMKF/ GFS
   INDICATING A MORE NEGATIVE TILT TO THE SYSTEM…BUT THE GFS SUGGESTS
   THE LEAST AMPLIFICATION.  THESE DIFFERENCES IN THE UPPER LEVELS
   TRANSFER TO THE LOWER LEVELS WITH THE GFS LACKING IN MUCH SURFACE
   LOW DEVELOPMENT…WHILE THE NAM/NAMKF/ECMWF ALL INDICATE A SURFACE
   LOW DEEPENING AS IT TRACKS NEWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY. 
  
   MODELS DO TEND TO AGREE THAT A BAND OF 40-50 KT SWLY MID LEVEL FLOW
   WILL EXTEND FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY/MID SOUTH TO CENTRAL
   APPALACHIANS WHICH WILL SUPPORT A LARGE AREA WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER
   SHEAR.  TSTMS…SOME SEVERE…SHOULD BE ONGOING AT 12Z WEDNESDAY
   FROM ERN OK/NERN TX EWD THROUGH THE TN VALLEY TO SRN APPALACHIANS.
   STRONGER DESTABILIZATION /MODERATE INSTABILITY/ MAY BE LIMITED TO
   THE SERN STATES WWD TO TX…ALONG AND S OF ONGOING MORNING
   ACTIVITY…WHERE GREATER MOISTURE/STRONGER SURFACE HEATING WILL
   OCCUR.  WEAKER INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY EXTEND NEWD FROM THE MID
   SOUTH TO THE OH VALLEY. 
  
   INCREASING EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR THROUGH THE DAY WILL SUPPORT A
   THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS FROM PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY
   EWD TO NRN PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/ERN GULF COAST STATES.  ALTHOUGH
   INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAKER WITH NWD EXTEND…THE POTENTIAL FOR
   STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT PER NAM/NAMKF ACROSS TN/KY INTO OH
   VALLEY SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED STORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING
   WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
  
   FARTHER SW INTO TX…MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK
   SHEAR WILL DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON SUPPORTING A THREAT FOR ORGANIZED
   SEVERE STORMS/SUPERCELLS.  SURFACE BASED DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE MORE
   ISOLATED WITH SWWD EXTENT AS HEIGHT RISES WILL TEND TO SUPPORT A
   STRONGER CAP.  IF SURFACE HEATING IS STRONG ENOUGH /AROUND 90
   F/…THEN SUPERCELLS WOULD BE LIKELY.
  
   …UPPER MS VALLEY…
   A SHORT WAVE TROUGH/ATTENDANT LOW LEVEL TROUGH WILL TRACK EWD INTO
   THE UPPER MS VALLEY/WRN GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY…WITH THE SURFACE
   TROUGH EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL WI SWWD INTO THE LOWER MO VALLEY BY
   LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SPREAD
   EWD ACROSS THIS REGION ATOP SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S.
   DESPITE THESE FACTORS…LIMITED SURFACE HEATING DUE TO EARLY PERIOD
   CLOUDINESS SHOULD PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONGER INSTABILITY.
   EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 25-30 KT SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR
   MULTICELLS PRODUCING AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS.
  
   ..PETERS.. 05/04/2009

http://alphainventions.com/

alphainventions

Hey Moe! Extend The Derby Weekend and Keep on Tradin’
May 4, 2008

For all of you visitors to Louisville, why don’t you stay and extend the weekend?  For you Louisvillians, you can extend the weekend too because the weather looks great for the next few days.  A big fat area of high pressure will dominate. Lot’s sun for Sunday.  Chilly start followed by a mild afternoon in the mid to upper 60’s.  Low 70’s for Monday afternoon and then partly cloudy on Tuesday and mid to maybe upper 70’s. I’ve actually had people complain that I hurt the economy by telling people to take a day off and extend the weekend.  I never knew that I was so powerful. 

Good thing this Kentucky Derby was on the 3rd and not the 4th.  The coldest Derby morning was 36 on May 4, 1940 and May 4, 1957.  The coldest high for a derby was 47 May 4, 1957 and May 4, 1935. The coldest average temperature for the Derby was also May 4, 1957.  Two years later on Derby Day on May 2, 1959 they doubled the 1957 high for the record Derby high of 94.  I don’t think anyone mentioned global warming.

On This Date In History: In 1970, four Kent State students protesting the Viet Nam War were killed by National Guardsman. But I don’t want to talk about that.  I already told you a few days ago about the Haymarket Square Riot in Chicago in 1886.  President Lincoln was buried in 1865 and David Frost interviewed President Nixon in 1975, but I don’t want to talk about those items either.  How about this:

For all of you who want to curtail various free trade agreements.  On this date in 1930, 1028 economists petitioned Congress warning them against the Smoot-Hawley Act.  America was reeling from the 1929 stock market crash and so President Hoover and other politicians thought it was a grand idea to put a huge tariff on imported goods with the idea that it would promote the sale of American goods domestically and help turn the economy around.  The economists argued that high duties would effectively shut down foreign trade and create the exact opposite result intended.  But, politicians often do what sounds good to the public rather than take the time to explain why what sounds good is often wrong-headed.  Smoot-Hawley passed, foreign trade dried up and the result was the Great Depression.  Nice going.

What I really wanted to talk about was Moe.  Moe Howard departed this earth on this date in 1975.  He was, of course, the ring-leader of The Three Stooges.  Not only was he in charge on the screen but also in real life.  His real name was Harry Moses Horwitz and was born on June 19, 1897.  He teamed with older brother Samuel (Shemp) and younger brother Jerome (Curly) along with Larry Fine to form the stooges, an act that had its roots in vaudeville in the early 1920’s.  Larry and Moe teamed with a rotating third stooge due to health issues and the ultimate death of Curly in 1952.  But the act went on in various forms through the 1960’s and continues today in various mediums. 

One of my favorite stories about the stooges regards Moe’s hair.  Apparently his mother was so enthralled with his hair that she wouldn’t cut it and it often fell to shoulder length.  Moe grew tired of being teased at school so he and a chum got a bowl and some scissors and performed surgery on his hair, leaving him with the mop that remained his style for the rest of his life. 

The Three Stooges are a remarkable part of popular culture in that it transcended time.  Throughout the 20th century there are probably very few entertainment acts that one could go to a kid from any time and ask if they knew who they were and what they did.  If you could transport a kid, regardless of race, ethnicity or social status, from the 1930’s to the 1990’s one of the few things they would have in common would be that they knew the funny noises the Curly made or that Moe called everyone “Porcupine.”  Given the rapid rate of change in culture, society and technology over that time span, it’s really something else if you think about it.

If you want to read more about The Three Stooges, here is a link.  It’s even got a way to buy the poster of the photo above along with other trinkets!

Clown Ministry-Moe Howard Biography