A Few Days Ago, we found that a Russian Op-ed piece in Pravda said that President Obama was the American version of Mikhail Gorbachev who was the last communist leader and Premier of the Soviet Union. Now, not necessarily in rebuttle, American editor of Newsweek magazine Evan Thomas says that President Obama is “sort of God.” (text and video) Are these two statements compatible or must we assume that someone is wrong? Either way, the dynamic of opinion regarding our 44th President is very interesting.
Look at this photo carefully. It’s not a drawing. It’s a photo taken from a 70 foot tower On This Date in 1918 by Arthur Mole. He got some 21,000 soldiers at Camp Sherman in Chillicothe, Ohio to stand in formation such that it looked like President Wilson from his perch above. It seems like to me these guys were supposed to be “army training” as Bill Murray said in Stripes. But, somehow they found time to fill in a carefully detailed outline on the ground. Mole then got a megaphone and barked instructions. One soldier was so excited about standing around for the photo that he wrote his mother, “Hey Mom! I was part of President Wilson’s left eyebrow today.” I guess it was a nice diversion to the prospect of going “over there” to fight World War I. Then again, maybe they never went overseas because the war was over by the end of the year and Mole went on to use thousands of soldiers to pose for numerous patriotic pictures. I can hear it now, “what did you do in the Great War, Grandpa?….I stood around and represented a dot on huge human portraits!” It’s kinda silly but kinda cool too. Mole inspired innovative ideas in photography in the 20th century. Here are some other photos that he took…all with soldiers standing in the proper place. Click on each thumbnail to get the full photo. Remember, a lot of this was done in the first quarter of the 20th century.
Weather Bottom Line: As it turns out, that little appendage that I referred to on Wednesday morning kinda blew up after the sun came up and we had some pretty hefty rain. Snow White and I had a tree get hit by lightning about 150 feet ahead of us as we pulled into a driveway. It lit up orangish, reddish, pinkish and a puff of smoke came up from its base. I went to examine the tree though and found no evidence of a lightning strike. Good thing for us we were in the Bob Mobile. But, it does reinforce that its not a good idea to be running around in the rain. Lightning is one of the leading weather killers. Anyway, I saw someone on TV Wednesday night say we may have a rough night due to storms in Indiana. Well, this person was right but for the wrong reason. That guy was lifting northeast. It was the guy down in the bootheel of Missouri that came through as it weakened around 2:30 am that got us. Decent lightning. Nit and Wit, my kitties, snuggled up with Snow White and I as they are not too fond of lightning and thunder.
You will note on the SPC Convective outlook that our region remains in the slight risk for severe t’storms. There is one more wave that will move up along the boundary late Thursday and Thursday night. Possible, but not necessarily probable for us to get some bad stuff. Guess is that the orientation of the boundary may shift the threat to our southeast. But, I can certainly see elevated storms being a potential problem with gusty winds being drawn down and hail being an issue. Afternoon clouds will inhibit stuff but as the shortwave moves through it may initiate activity elsewhere and bring it through. In fact, I will be surprised if we don’t get at least another round of rain.
Once the wave moves along, the boundary will get energized in its wake and drift South. That should give us a decent Friday. Saturday, some of the models want to introduce some return activity here but I’m going along with the solution that a wave on Saturday is approaching and grabbing the front to bring back toward us from the Southwest. T’storms late Saturday and into Sunday would be the outlook. Then, we’re somewhat unsettled again for the first part of next week.
One note….the Canadian model seems to want to create a tropical low and move it into the Gulf in a few days. The other long range models don’t have that and it would be a bit odd to take a guy through the Yucatan Channel and into the Gulf this time of year. But its out there. Doubt its real, but who knows. A squirrel finds an acorn every now and then.
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1139 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2009
VALID 111630Z – 121200Z
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
TONIGHT FROM N TX ENEWD TO VA…
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR THE
HIGH PLAINS OF ERN CO/WRN KS…
…MIDDLE TN EWD TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON…
A WELL-DEFINED MCV IS MOVING EWD OVER MIDDLE TN AS OF LATE MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM IS ACCOMPANIED BY A NARROW BELT OF 40-50 KT MID LEVEL
FLOW…AND IS PRECEDED BY A MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
EXPECT THE CONVECTION WITH THE MCV TO PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON
WHILE SPREADING EWD OVER ERN TN AND ADJACENT AREAS…WITH A
CONTINUED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.
ADDITIONALLY…THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED/BRIEF
TORNADOES WHERE THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER INTERSECTS AND MOVES EWD
ALONG A RESIDUAL E-W OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS ERN TN…IN THE WAKE OF
THE WEAKENING CLUSTER NOW APPROACHING THE BLUE RIDGE.
…S CENTRAL PA SWD INTO CENTRAL VA/NRN NC THIS AFTERNOON…
THE REMNANTS OF A WEAKENING OVERNIGHT MCS ARE CROSSING THE BLUE
RIDGE AS OF 16Z…AND THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS SRN
PA/MD/CENTRAL VA/NRN NC THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE RATHER POOR OVER THE REGION /AOB 6 C/KM BASED ON 12Z
SOUNDINGS/…BUT SOME SURFACE HEATING AND A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID-UPPER 60S WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT
DESTABILIZATION /MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG FOR SEVERE
STORMS…ESPECIALLY ACROSS VA AND NC. THE NWD EXTENT OF THE
STRONGER DESTABILIZATION COULD BE LIMITED BY PERSISTENT CLOUDS FROM
NRN VA INTO SRN PA. MEANWHILE…STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW
ACCOMPANIES THE REMNANT CONVECTIVE SYSTEM MOVING OVER VA FROM THE
W…AND IT APPEARS PROBABLE THAT NEW STORMS WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON
IN A N-S BAND ALONG THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AS IT PROGRESSES
EWD ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT WITH BOWING SEGMENTS…THOUGH ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO
…NW/N CENTRAL INTO E TX THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT…
ONGOING CONVECTION IN N/NE TX IS BEING MAINTAINED BY WAA ABOVE THE
SHALLOW COLD POOL GENERATED BY OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING STORMS.
THE 12Z FWD SOUNDING SHOWED STRONG ELEVATED INSTABILITY /MUCAPE IN
EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG/…WHILE OTHER SOUNDINGS TO THE S REVEALED A
LITTLE STRONGER CAP. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE
SHORT-TERM EVOLUTION OF THE STORMS GIVEN AN EXPECTED WEAKENING OF
THE SWLY LLJ THAT HAS BEEN FEEDING THIS CONVECTION.
HOWEVER…DIURNAL WEAKENING OF THE CAP THROUGH DAYTIME HEATING AND
NEW COLD POOL GENERATION COULD ALSO ALLOW STORMS TO ROOT CLOSER TO
THE SURFACE AND BEGIN TO PROPAGATE SEWD AS AN MCS WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
FARTHER W/NW…A SURFACE COLD FRONT IS SAGGING SWD ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE INTO NW TX…WHERE THE BOUNDARY INTERSECTS THE WWD
EXTENSION OF THE OUTFLOW FROM THE N TX STORMS. STRONG SURFACE
HEATING AND A NARROW CORRIDOR OF UPPER 50S TO MID 60S BOUNDARY LAYER
DEW POINTS COULD SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE FRONT FROM THE SE TX PANHANDLE ESEWD INTO NW TX.
DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELLS…AND A TORNADO OR TWO COULD OCCUR WITH STORMS RIDING
ESEWD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT WHERE SOMEWHAT
RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL COINCIDE
…ERN CO/WRN KS THROUGH TONIGHT…
MOIST POST-FRONTAL UPSLOPE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CO TODAY AS
LOW-LEVEL FLOW VEERS TO MORE ELY/SELY IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF
A MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ENEWD FROM UT/AZ. LAPSE RATES ARE
RELATIVELY POOR OVER THE HIGH PLAINS IN THE MOIST ENVIRONMENT…BUT
DAYTIME HEATING IN CLOUD BREAKS AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS IN THE
LOW-MID 50S WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG.
THIS MODEST INSTABILITY…IN COMBINATION WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR
AOA 50 KT AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING…WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW SUPERCELLS FORMING
JUST E OF THE MOUNTAINS AND MOVING EWD ONTO THE PLAINS OF ERN CO.
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MOST COMMON
THREAT…THOUGH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING BEFORE CONVECTION BECOMES SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
FARTHER E INTO WRN KS.