This Naked Horse Rider Was Madonna Before Madonna


menken
AdahHere is Adah Isaacs Menken.  You may choose to envision which photo that suits your fancy when you consider This Date In History: On June 3, 1861 an old melodrama was taking place on stage in New York.  Mazeppa was written in 1830 by Henry M. Milner as an adaptation of a Lord Byron poem.  The play had gotten some notoriety when a live horse was used in a scene.  But when the Green Street Theatre in Albany, New York cast the “buxom” Menken, they lashed her to the horse wearing a skin toned body stocking.  The play opened to rave reviews and it soon went on the road.  One account says the popularity comes about because of Ms. Menken’s “curvaceous calves.”   hmmm….I look at the  photos below and curvaceous is not what comes to mind.  Anyway, she had her fans including Mark Twain and Brigham Young, who expressed shock but not enough that he didn’t sit through the whole show.

Ms. Menken had a lot of suitors.  She had married a chap named Menken and converted to Judaism.  Even though that marriage didn’t last, she maintained her Jewish Faith for the rest of her life.  She was a bit unconventional for her time as she was married to 4 men in 7 years.  She also had a number of “friends” of note including Charles Dickens and Alexandre Dumas the younger.  Word of affairs roamed the rumor mill.But, alas, her life was short as she collapsed on stage in Paris and died shortly thereafter of tuberculosis under the care of the personal physician of Napoleon III.  She was only 33. 

Menken-AdahToday, we have many mercurial celebrities some talented and some not so talented.  Many of these fast burning celebrity comets have their notoriety based on scandal and controversy rather than a firm body of work.  If you look all over TMZ.com you can find them on a daily basis.  We often are quick to assume that this is a sign of the apocolypse or the decline in America….when in fact…it’s nothing new.  Even in Victorian America and Europe, a starlet like Adah Menken burned just as brightly as today’s pseudo-stars that make one question why they are famous.    The only difference is that the media outlets are everywhere.  Perhaps it is worthy of note that, just as Ms. Menken faded quickly from the history pages (except here!), it is probable that today’s celebrities will be tomorrow’s forgotten stories, left to the annals of obscurity such as this.

SPC Slight Risk For Severe Storms-Winds/Hail Biggest Risk

SPC Slight Risk For Severe Storms-Winds/Hail Biggest Risk

 

Severe Wind Probability

Severe Wind Probability

Weather Bottom Line:  Tuesday night lightning was cool. Snow White and I went for a walk and I told her it wouldn’t but she was concerned nonetheless.  I was a bit worried but noted that the lightning had no thunder so I knew it was a ways away.  But it was still cool and we still didn’t get rain.  The forecast is a bit trickey over the next 48 hours.  We have a frontal boundary slowly sagging our way.  It will be approaching on Wednesday morning.  The GFS wants to start the rain in the morning and keep it all day.  The NAM only has the rain from 10am through 6pm and then Wednesday night heavy rain.  None of the indicies are too wild but do indicate t’storms.  The rain chances will continue into the first part of Thursday as there will be a number of waves running along the front to bog it down but by late Thursday, it should be shoved far enough south to keep the rain out of our hair.  While there is a question of when the rain starts on Wednesday, I’m confident enough that Snow White and I are going to scull on Wednesday morning. (Edit 7:55 AM-Looks like the GFS was right…Snow White doesn’t like thunder and its not too smart to be in a scull on the river with lightning around. I’m in the dog house) 

Severe Hail Probability

Severe Hail Probability

Now, there is some pretty cool air behind this front so on Thursday, the combination of clouds and cooler air will probably keep some folks in the upper 60’s with others in the low 70’s.  Friday we only get to the mid to upper 70’s and then we have a steady warm up back to near 90 by early next week.  Kinda interesting…the GFS is showing extreme instability on Monday.  If we were to get some sort of kicker then things would just go crazy…but, at this point, it just looks hot.

The SPC expanded the slight risk for severe thunderstorms farther west. We had been barely in the region and now we’re more solidly in it.  With the little wave that passed by last night and the one in the morning, I would think that the risk would be mainly for the afternoon as morning temperatures are being held down.  However, with the risk of hail and the evidence of a few hail reports last night and the frequent lightning, that tells me its pretty cold aloft with these waves.   So morning hail is not out of the question.  The bet remains that the heavy rain will come tonight but….that is the machines trying to time the front sagging in conjunction with waves that will run along the front.  I think certainly that heavy rain is possible during the daytime in southern Indiana and, should the front sag farther south during the day than progged by the models, then south of the river would get it.  Again, thats not the idea but its a close shave.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0100 AM CDT WED JUN 03 2009
  
   VALID 031200Z – 041200Z
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF THE OH/TN VALLEYS
   TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES…
   
 

Tornado Probability

Tornado Probability

  …SYNOPSIS…
   BROAD TROUGH /ANCHORED BY VORTEX OVER NRN QUEBEC/ WILL BE MAINTAINED
   OVER CNTRL/ERN CANADA INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND…WITH
   SOME AMPLIFICATION INTO THE OH VALLEY.  SEVERAL VORTICITY MAXIMA
   WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE LARGE-SCALE TROUGH…WITH MODELS AGREEING
   THAT STRONGEST IMPULSE/SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG SWD INTO THROUGH
   CENTRAL CANADA.  FARTHER S…VORTICITY MAXIMUM/WEAK MID LEVEL LOW
   EMBEDDED WITHIN WEAKER FLOW REGIME OVER THE SRN PLAINS WILL DRIFT
   SLOWLY ESEWD TOWARD THE LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS.  IN THE WEST…
   DEEP-LAYER LOW WILL BE MAINTAINED OFF THE CA COAST WITH SEVERAL
   IMPULSES ROTATING AROUND THIS FEATURE ACROSS CA/NV INTO THE PACIFIC
   NW.
  
   AT THE SURFACE…A FRONTAL ZONE WILL SETTLE SWD THROUGH THE
   DELMARVA/MID ATLANTIC STATES AND ALSO FROM THE OH INTO TN VALLEYS.
   THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LINK WITH A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA
   DEVELOPING SEWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.  THE WRN EXTENSION OF THIS
   FRONT WILL CONCURRENTLY SHIFT SWD THROUGH TX.
  
   …OH/TN VALLEYS TO MID ATLANTIC STATES…
   ANOTHER ACTIVE DAY FOR STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS IS EXPECTED ALONG AND
   S OF THE SWD MOVING FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS THIS REGION.  DESPITE
   GENERALLY WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES…LOW LEVEL MOISTURE /SURFACE
   DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S/ COMBINED WITH STRONG SURFACE HEATING WITHIN
   THE WARM SECTOR WILL RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY.  TSTMS SHOULD
   DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON AT THE LATEST…GIVEN A
   WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS.  WLY MID-UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
   STRENGTHEN SOME ACROSS THE OH VALLEY TO SRN NEW ENGLAND AS LARGE
   UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS SWD.  THIS WILL SUPPORT 30-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE
   BULK SHEAR DEVELOPING SWD ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA CONCURRENTLY
   WITH THE SWD MOVING SURFACE FRONT.  DEEP LAYER UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS
   ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MAINLY STRONG TO SEVERE LINE SEGMENTS WITH
   STRONG WIND GUSTS BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.  HOWEVER…A FEW
   SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR UP TO 40 KT
   WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR HAIL…AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO
   THREAT.  OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH BY MID-LATE
   EVENING AS THE AIR MASS UNDERGOES STABILIZATION WITH THE LOSS OF
   DAYTIME HEATING.
  
   …ERN TX TO LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS…
   WEAK MID LEVEL LOW/VORT MAX…CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER SRN KS…AND
   MCV NOW LOCATED OVER CENTRAL TX WITHIN ONGOING LARGE MCS…WILL BOTH
   TRANSLATE SLOWLY ESEWD TOWARD THE LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS THIS FORECAST
   PERIOD.  FORCING FOR ASCENT AHEAD OF THESE MID LEVEL FEATURES
   COMBINED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM TUESDAY
   CONVECTION MOVING SEWD ACROSS THIS REGION WILL LIKELY SUPPORT
   NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.  DESPITE
   THE LIKELIHOOD FOR CONVECTION…GENERALLY WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS
   EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT…WITH ISOLATED
   HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.  TSTMS
   AND ANY ATTENDANT ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH WEDNESDAY
   EVENING AS THE AIR MASS STABILIZES WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
  
   …CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS…
   WNWLY MID LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO AROUND 40 KT
   ACROSS ERN WY/NERN CO INTO NEB THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL OCCUR AS
   THE HEIGHT GRADIENT TIGHTENS SOME ALONG NRN PERIPHERY OF RIDGE
   BUILDING INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND WITH CONCURRENT WEAK HEIGHT
   FALLS/WEAK IMPULSE TRACKING SEWD FROM THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.  TSTMS
   ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM SERN WY INTO CO
   WITHIN UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME.  ALTHOUGH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL BE
   SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS…WEAK INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO
   LIMIT THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF SEVERE WEATHER.  FARTHER S…
   INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE GREATER FROM SERN NM INTO SW TX WITH
   EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR INCREASING BY EARLY EVENING.  HOWEVER… MODELS
   DIFFER WITH THE AMOUNT OF TSTMS THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS.  THUS…THIS OUTLOOK WILL MAINTAIN A LOW PROBABILITY FOR
   SEVERE HAIL/WIND GUSTS GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN STORM
   COVERAGE…DESPITE THE STRONGER INSTABILITY.
  
   …PACIFIC NW TO NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION…
   LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY STRONG
   VORTICITY MAXIMUM WILL LIFT NWD THROUGH CA/NV EVENTUALLY INTO ORE BY
   LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.  THE AIR MASS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME
   PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE…BUT STEEP LAPSE RATES AND THE PRESENCE OF
   RELATIVELY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES INDICATE SOME HAIL THREAT
   WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.  ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL AGAIN BE
   POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN INTO SRN ID WHERE INVERTED-V
   THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL ENHANCE THE WIND GUST POTENTIAL WITH THE
   STRONGER STORMS.
  
   …CENTRAL/ERN GULF COAST STATES…
   WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER THE WEST
   CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.  NUMEROUS TSTMS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
   SYSTEM…MAINLY OVER THE GULF WATERS INTO SRN LA ON TUESDAY.  A
   SIMILAR INCREASE IN TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE NRN
   GULF INTO THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS OF THE CENTRAL/ERN GULF COAST
   REGION AS THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVES TOWARD THE MS DELTA.
  
   ..PETERS/HURLBUT.. 06/03/2009

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