On This Date In History:
A new conspiracy theory got started when presidential assassin John Wilkes Booth is killed in a barn on this date in 1865. It’s kinda interesting how infamous he is. Americans these days generally are pretty poor when it comes to history yet, this guy is probably one of the better known villains even today. Not as well known as Colonel Sanders, but still, Booth was quite famous as an actor. Today, it would be like a famous, good looking actor like Brad Pitt being an assassin. Anyway, Booth had escaped Ford’s Theatre by jumping from the presidential box to the stage. His spur caught in a curtain and he landed awkwardly such that he broke his leg. That made it difficult for him to escape and he eventually got cornered in a barn near Fort Royal, Virginia. However, there is a site that claims that the Ghost of John Wilkes Booth appeared in Chicago and said that he really broke his leg falling off his horse. Keep in mind that this site thinks there was a Union General “McClennon” and not the proper McClellan, so I’m not sure how much stock to put in it.
Anyway, the orders were to take Booth alive. With the assassin trapped in the barn, the Union soldiers lit the barn on fire to try and smoke him out. But, before he had a chance to come out, Sergeant Thomas
Corbett stuck his musket through a slit in the barn walls and shot him. I think the thought is the bullet severed Booth’s spine he died. So, the assassin was killed and the conspiracy theories began. Corbett testified that he fired a carbine, yet the autopsy showed Booth was killed with a pistol bullet. When Booth was dragged from the barn, the officer in charge said, “He shot himself.” Then of course came the claims that Booth really wasn’t killed and that it was all made up. There is also the theory that Corbett was part of a cover up and that he killed Booth to make sure that the accused couldn’t talk. That same type of thing came up 100 years later when Jack Ruby shot Lee Harvey Oswald following the assassination of President Kennedy. I’m not sure why but someone went and mummified the body of John Wilkes Booth…I suppose as proof that they got their man!
But, Corbett went on claiming he shot Booth. So, why did he disobey orders? He blamed God! He said that God told him to do it and that his orders from God were ultimate. He also said that God once told him to avoid sexual temptation. Instead of avoiding such circumstance, Corbett castrated himself with a pair of scissors in 1858. He was appointed as the doorkeeper of the Kansas legislature but was dismissed in 1887 after threatening a lawmaker with a gun. He was committed to an insane asylum (imagine that) but escaped and was never heard from again. Be careful, perhaps he’s still running around out there somewhere. Then again, maybe God told him to just go away.
On This Date in 1990 Nolan Ryan threw is 12th one hitter, tying Bob Feller’s record. He had a record 7 no-hitters and lost 5 no-hitters in the 9th inning. My friends and I always went to an Astros game every series they played. Saw Ryan a bunch of times. We called him the Big Heater, which I like better than the Ryan Express.
On This Date in 2000 Vermont Governor Howard Dean signed into law the nation’s first law allowing same-sex couples to form state recognized Civil Unions. Apparently that wasn’t good enough and now Vermont has joined some other states in making same sex marriage legal. It is a subject that may have cost Miss California, Carrie Prejean, her chance at winning the Miss USA title. The question she received was far tougher than any that the other contestants got and was also presented, in my opinion, for no good reason except to push an agenda. Not sure why Trump had that character on the judges panel. But, what most people seem to miss is that the woman didn’t answer the question! If she had just answered the question, she may have won. The question wasn’t her opinion, it was about states passing allowing same sex marriage. All she had to say was that she believed that each state should be able to allowed to make their own laws based on the will of the people, not on courts or judges. But, instead, she gave her opinion regarding the definition of marriage. So, perhaps she should have lost since she didn’t answer the question…or maybe she should get into politics since politicians are famous for not answering questions. It’s interesting to see how this is being reported. The take from Fox News is quite different from the UK Telegraph and certainly, as one might expect, different from the Gay/Lesbian/Trans San Francisco Bay Times.
On This date in 1948 Stevie Nicks was born. I found a site that lists her as “rocker/druggie”
Weather Bottom Line: Okay, we have some changes coming and for Derby Festival organizers it’s not necessarily good. Sunday we pushed toward 90. After Monday, the unseasonably warm temperatures will come to an end. What is happening is that we have a cold front approaching. But, its bumping into a big fat high in the Southeast and it is not too interested in breaking down much or moving much. So, what happens is that the front slowly comes through on Tuesday and doesn’t really pass until Tuesday night. So, rain chances will crescendo on Tuesday. Now, with that high so fat and happy, the front won’t move too far south. It’s possible we have post frontal rain. The GFS wants to throw out 1.5 inches from Tuesday midday to Wednesday midday. The NAM tosses out over an inch but starts it earlier on Tuesday and ends it on Tuesday night. The NAM doesn’t go farther but the GFS indicates rain chances will remain healthy through the rest of the week as the boundary lolligags just to our south and then returns back through the area as another front comes through on Friday.
The SPC loses interest on severe chances here for Tuesday, in spite of all of the action going on in the plains Sunday and Monday. The problem is that the air aloft is warm and the jetstream winds slacken off. So, there is a question of instability. The vertical profiles indecies support that contention. However, the GFS is interested in increasing thunderstorm chances throughout the week. I’ve seen forecasts for Derby Day with a chance for rain but I think that’s the old CYA forecast because it looks like to me from the GFS that a high builds in behind the front for Saturday. I suppose the question arises from the Euro in that it does have the ridge come in but also has a low coming out of the Southwest with a warm front swinging back up and bringing ample rain on Sunday morning. My guess is that, should the data hold true, we have good Kentucky Derby weather with mild conditions sandwiched in between rain on Friday and Saturday night or Sunday. But, the timing of the return flow would be a question and that is why you may see rain chances on Saturday. It will become more clear as the week progresses.
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2009
VALID 281200Z – 291200Z
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM A PORTION OF THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS THROUGH CNTRL AND N CNTRL TX…
SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CNTRL PLAINS AND MID MS
VALLEY MONDAY WILL CONTINUE NEWD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND SERN
CANADA TUESDAY AND DEAMPLIFY AS IT CRESTS UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OFF
THE ERN U.S. COAST. THIS FEATURE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD FRONT
THAT WILL ADVANCE THROUGH THE OH VALLEY AND NERN STATES. TRAILING
END OF FRONT WILL EXTEND SWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS WHERE IT SHOULD
STALL ACROSS TX BEFORE RETREATING NWD OVERNIGHT. CUTOFF UPPER LOW
WILL EVOLVE OVER THE PACIFIC NW…AND A BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME
WITH EMBEDDED VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL CHARACTERIZE THE REMAINDER OF
THE WRN STATES.
…SRN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH CNTRL AND N CNTRL TX…
FRONT WILL STALL SOMEWHERE FROM WRN THROUGH NRN TX AS IT BECOMES
PARALLEL TO DEEP LAYER FLOW DOWNSTREAM FROM WRN U.S. TROUGH. SOME
CONVECTION MAY STILL BE ONGOING IN VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY EARLY
TUESDAY. RESERVOIR OF UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS WILL PERSIST SOUTH OF THE
FRONT OR ANY REMAINING CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES AND ADVECT NWWD INTO
WRN TX AND ERN NM BENEATH PLUME OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES. FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS WITH MLCAPE
AROUND 2000 J/KG. TIMING OF ANY IMPULSES EJECTING INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS FROM WITHIN CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME WILL BE DIFFICULT…BUT ANY
SUCH FEATURES WILL MODULATE THE CONVECTIVE THREAT DURING THE DAY.
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO REDEVELOP ALONG E-W ORIENTED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY OR ANY REMNANT CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES. OTHER STORMS
MAY DEVELOP FARTHER WEST WITHIN THE UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME ACROSS ERN
NM AND WRN TX. THOUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL NOT BE
PARTICULARLY STRONG DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS…VEERING PROFILES
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT…35-45 KT…BULK SHEAR FOR SEVERE
STORMS GIVEN THE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT.
AS THE SLY NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS…ISENTROPIC LIFT AND
DESTABILIZATION WILL INCREASE NORTH OF THE FRONT. THIS PROCESS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT OF ELEVATED STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL
OVERNIGHT FROM THE TX PANHANDLE…NERN NM AND SWRN KS.
…OH VALLEY AND NERN STATES…
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN LIMITED ALONG NARROW AND MODEST MOIST AXIS
PRECEDING THE SEWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE DEVELOPING SEWD ALONG THE FRONT. ACTIVITY WILL BE EMBEDDED
WITHIN MODERATE-STRONG SWLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER FLOW.
HOWEVER…THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE DAY. AS
THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS…SOME OF THE CONVECTION MAY BECOME CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS. IT APPEARS INSTABILITY WILL
REMAIN TOO LIMITED TO INTRODUCE MORE THAN 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT