Congress Does Something Right


Russian Version of Treaty

Russian Version of Treaty

On This Date In History:  On this date in 1867, Secretary of State William Seward basked while his detractors fumed.  The day before,  Congress showed a nose for looking to the future instead of votes for the day as it approved what was known as “Seward’s Folly”.  That’s what they called his negotiated purchase of the Alaskan Terrirtory from Russia for $7 million.  That was less than half of what Thomas Jefferson paid for Louisiana.   Alaska became the 49th state in the 1950’s and has been proved to be anything but a folly.  It has provided billions of barrels of oil and billions of cubic feet of natural gas.  It is a strategic location for national defense, has great commercial fishing and has a vast frontier like wilderness.

Palin Was A Bonus Baby For Seward's Folly

Palin Was A Bonus Baby For Seward's Folly

The only folly was the pinhead shortsightedness of the members of Congress who opposed  the purchase.  So…when you get upset at elected officials who seemed more concerned about the next election rather than the future of the nation…when its easier to just go along with public sentament than to struggle to educate the electorate to support what is in the long term best interests of the country, our children and grandchildren…don’t feel too bad…Congress has been that way for a long time and we’ve managed to survive.  Though this time, they seemed to have spent way more than $7 million….more like $7 Trillion and who knows where that will leave our children and grandchildren…or even us in a few years.  But let us not cast stones…let us celebrate that on this date in 1867, Congress actually had something to celebrate, whether they knew it or not.  And look at it this way…if it weren’t for Alaska, we wouldn’t have Sarah Palin!

Skyline Club: Unlucky For Williams and Horton

Skyline Club: Unlucky For Williams and Horton

But, the man who inexplicably adorns the top of this section did not.  See, it’s Johnny Horton who was a rising rockabilly star in the 1950’s.  He was influenced by Elvis and Hank Williams.  Horton’s connection to Alaska is that he had a hit song called North to Alaska.  Who can forget it?  His connection to Hank Williams was even more interesting or even eerie.   See, Williams had been married to the former Billie Jean Jones.  Williams was killed in a car accident at the age of 29 after performing in Austin, Texas at the Skyline Club.  A few months later, Billie Jean married Johnny Horton.  For the second time, Billie Jean became a widow as Johnny was killed at the age of 31 at the hands of a drunk driver after performing in Austin, Texas at the Skyline Club. 

Fri 8am to Sat 8am

Fri 8am to Sat 8am

Weather Bottom Line:  Forecast still looks on track.  Perhaps some early morning showers or maybe a t’storm or two as a warm front

SPC Outlook Monday

SPC Outlook Monday

lifts through on Friday morning.  Then the cold front comes in Friday afternoon which will provide our best chance for strong storms.  Guess here is that we’d be looking at high winds and possibly hail, though maybe a small chance for an isolated tornado.  I’m thinking the the best twister chance will be to our south or southeast.  Still worth watching.  Cooler air slips in for the weekend but not terribly cold.  Easter Sunday looks good…high perhaps in the low 60’s.  Then on Monday another system comes through and I had thought previously that the main short would generate some action.  Then the last couple of model runs did not show any evidence of that.  I had speculated that it was worth seeing what really happened and now the SPC is putting us in the suspect area as there may be enough time to reload sufficiently to support some action as the short is really very strong and probably doesn’t need as much extra stuff.  Still, probably won’t be too major but since the situation is in flux, it’s wise to keep an eye out.    Generally seasonal temperatures it would appear for much of the week ahead if not a tad cooler for a day or so.

 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0746 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009
  
   VALID 101300Z – 111200Z
  
   …THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE TN VLY/GULF
   CST STATES/SRN APPALACHIANS…
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA
   FROM MS AND THE LWR OH VLYS TO THE S ATLANTIC CST…
  
   …SYNOPSIS…
   AMPLIFIED BUT PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE LWR 48
   THIS PERIOD.  MAIN FEATURE OF NOTE…POTENT UPR LOW NOW OVER SRN MO
   …WILL CONTINUE E ACROSS SRN KY TODAY AND GRADUALLY DEVOLVE INTO AN
   OPEN WAVE.  THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH SE VA BY 12Z SAT AS 80 KT MID
   LVL SPEED MAX NOW ON ITS SW PERIPHERY /OVER THE ARKLATEX/ MOVES OFF
   THE S ATLANTIC CST.
  
   AT LWR LEVELS…SFC LOW NOW OVER SE MO SHOULD TRACK E ACROSS KY
   TODAY/EARLY TONIGHT AS TRAILING COLD FRONT PROGRESSES STEADILY SE
   ACROSS THE TN/LWR MS VLYS.  AHEAD OF THE FRONT…SFC AND VWP DATA
   SUGGEST PRESENCE OF A PRE-FRONTAL LOW LVL CONFLUENCE AXIS…POSSIBLY
   RELATED TO SQLN OVER E TN/N GA…EXTENDING NE/SW FROM NRN AL INTO
   SRN MS.  FARTHER E…CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT WARM FRONT
   OVER THE SRN APPALACHIANS/CAROLINAS WILL REMAIN DIFFUSE THROUGH MUCH
   OF THE PERIOD.  BUT SIGNIFICANT LOW LVL WARMING/MOISTENING SHOULD
   SPREAD NE ALONG THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT/CSTL PLN WITH TIME AS SFC LOW
   REACHES SRN VA EARLY SATURDAY.
    
   …TN VLY INTO CNTRL GULF STATES…SRN APLCNS/CAROLINAS/SRN VA…
   LATEST SFC OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE/GPS PW DATA SHOW FAIRLY
   SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE /WITH PW AOA 1 INCH/ IN PLACE FROM THE
   WRN/CNTRL GULF CST NE INTO THE TN VLY AND SRN KY.  A TONGUE OF DRIER
   AIR REMAINS PRESENT FROM FL NWD INTO THE WRN CAROLINAS…BUT A
   SECONDARY AREA OF ENHANCED MOISTURE LIES OFF THE NC CST.  MOISTURE
   SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD NE ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN GULF CST STATES
   AND GA TODAY AS 40+ KT SWLY LLJ PERSISTS IN WARM SECTOR OF
   PROGRESSIVE SFC LOW.  SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW/MID 60S F SHOULD
   EXTEND FROM SRN LA INTO MUCH OF AL AND GA BY LATE TODAY. 
  
   COMBINATION OF INCREASING LOW LVL MOISTURE WITH COOL MID LVL
   TEMPERATURES AND ASCENT ON SRN FRINGE OF UPR LOW SHOULD SUPPORT
   INTENSE TSTM DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTN
   IN WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT FROM WRN
   KY/TN SSW INTO MS.  OTHER INTENSE STORMS SHOULD FORM NEARLY
   SIMULTANEOUSLY…OR PERHAPS SLIGHTLY LATER…INVOF AFOREMENTIONED
   CONFLUENCE ZONE OVER ERN MS/AL/GA.
  
   ALONG THE COLD FRONT…STRONG…LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP FLOW
   EXPECTED TO SUPPORT BROKEN BANDS OF SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS WITH
   HIGH WIND/LARGE HAIL AND ISOLD TORNADOES.  FARTHER ESE…
   WEAKLY CONFLUENT LOW LVL FLOW AND LONG…CLOCKWISE-TURNING
   HODOGRAPHS WITH 60-70 KT WLY MID LVL FLOW COULD FOSTER NUMEROUS
   DISCRETE OR SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS…ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE
   HEATING BOOSTS SFC TEMPERATURES TO NEAR 80 F.  THESE STORMS COULD
   YIELD A FEW STRONG TORNADOES…IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND
   HIGH WIND.  THIS THREAT APPEARS GREATEST FROM CNTRL/NRN AL INTO
   CNTRL/NRN GA…PERHAPS AS FAR E AS WARM FRONTAL SEGMENT INVOF THE
   SAVANNAH RVR VLY THIS EVE. 
  
   LARGE SCALE UVV AHEAD OF UPR VORT SHOULD STRENGTHEN E OF THE SRN
   APPALACHIANS AND THE REMAINDER OF THE CAROLINAS/SRN VA BY LATER
   TONIGHT.  BUT…WEAKER DESTABILIZATION…ASSOCIATED WITH A MORE
   LIMITED LOW-LVL MOISTURE RETURN AND ONSET OF DIURNAL COOLING…MAY
   MITIGATE SVR POTENTIAL.  A LIMITED SVR THREAT
   COULD…HOWEVER…LINGER THROUGH EARLY SAT…ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NC
   CST.
  
   ..CORFIDI/JEWELL.. 04/10/2009

alphainventions

3 Responses

  1. Looks like the boys at the good ol’ SPC don’t agree with you about the Monday storm. They got us in a 30% day 4 outlook. What are they seeing that you aren’t?

  2. What they are seeing now is what I saw a for several days and then the models went numb…now they are back. What is going on is a flip flop in that the models are now suggesting that there will be time to reload as the main short comes through. Shoulda stuck with my guns as I knew the big guy would probably try to be more trouble than it was showing for the last 48 hours.

  3. Looks like you’re running pretty close for today. Our favorite local meteorologist was basically saying this morning that today’s chances for severe weather would be virtually nil for today and that the bad weather would be much farther south. He may have missed this one.

    Our leadership from top-to-bottom is too reactionary which is sad and destructive. We need leaders who will lead based on what they believe is good for the country, not by whichever way the wind is blowing. I believe it was Winston Churchill who said that it is hard to follow a man who constantly has his ear to the ground. You can’t blame congress for being reactionary. I think that our government was set up that way since they’re up for re-election every two years. They kind of have to be watching the winds. The Senate is supposed to be more deliberative though and not just rubber-stamp and rush through huge spending bills that the president and congress concoct. The president has only one constituency: The American people. He should lead as he sees fit from the bully pulpit of his office. If the Executive branch gets out of hand then congress can cut off his purse strings and the judiciary can help keep him in check. We’ve got a bunch of folks in Washington running around trying to buy votes, tell the American people what they want to hear and get their poll numbers up–they’re not worried about much else. They seem to have no internal compass or basic set of principles to guide them other than what will keep them in power. That is not leadership. Character, as we’re in the process of finding out, DOES matter.

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