No More Naked Hikers: Apparently, the German people have long since liked to cavort about in the buff. They
did so in the early 20th century. With the rise of the Nazi party, this type of activity was suppressed but, after the war, the allies not only freed the people from a tyrannical rule, it freed them of the need to wear clothes all of the time as the naked frolicking became popular again after the war, particularly in East Germany. Upon the reunion of Germany, those who were avid nude recreationists influenced the rest of the country. In recent years, Germans were vacationing in Switzerland and doing a bit of nude hiking and climbing. While Germans were the most prominent nationality to reject clothing in the outdoors, others also came to the Alps. Much of that influence came from the world wide web, which had numerous stories that talked up the benefits of buff climbing. Well, no more. Seems the locals aren’t too hip. Last year they arrested some folks but couldn’t figure out what to charge them with. Now there is a law that fines naturalists $170 US dollars. So, tourists beware…if you want to see nude hikers and climbers…don’t go to Switzerland…sounds like Germany is your best bet!
A-Rod Naked and Ashamed:
It was weird. I dreamed on Sunday night that A-rod admitted to using steroids. Well, perhaps I’m a prophet. Seems that Alex Rodriguez is trying the route of Jason Giambi and Andy Pettite in that he’s fessing up rather than trying the denial circuit of Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens. He sees that Giambi and Pettite are able to continue their careers and earn millions while the other two are out of the game and facing possible jail time. Probably a pretty good idea considering he’s still got 9 years left on his contract worth over $25 million per year. But, in this ESPN interview with Peter Gammons, he leaves a lot of holes, avoids questions like where he got the steroids and asks everyone to
believe that he only took the substances during the time that the reporter claimed the proof pointed to. He’s hoping everyone would accept his explanation as the truth and leave it at that. Less than a year ago he told that sage journalist Katie Couric that he never took any banned substances, but NOW, he’s telling the truth even though he doesn’t admit that he lied then. Tell you what…the first slump he’s in, the New York fans will break out the “A-Fraud” signs and I’m sure he’ll see that and worse on the road. He may have just kissed the Hall of Fame good-bye and his reputation is in the toilet probably forever. Keep this in mind…he says he’s been clean since he’s been with the Yankees. That is very coincidental because he signed a long extension with the Yankees and I suspect that if he had taken steroids, then his current contract could be voided. Interesting how the “truth” fits so nicely with the financial situation.
No one is really talking about it but this takes me back to Ken Caminiti. He was a third baseman with a cannon for an arm. I used to love watching him play. Real tough, get your uniform dirty kinda guy. He was a pretty good hitter with some decent power and all of a sudden, after he got shipped from the Astros to San Diego, he went bananas, hitting well over .300, popping 40 homers and having 130 RBI. I think he averaged just 26 homers with a .272 BA for his career. That one year, he was the league MVP. In 2002, he admitted in Sports Illustrated that he was doing ‘roids then. In the article he said that at least half of the players were using. In the same article, former outfielder Chad Curtis estimated it to be 50%. The MLB Players Association tut-tutted and, a few days after the article came out, Caminiti suddenly said that he may have exaggerated the amount of the usage. I always figured that Louie and Rocko from the union came by for a visit.
Now, a year or so later, the MLB Players Association agreed to have a test of players just to see if there was a problem. The tests were to be destroyed after the study was complete. 104 players tested positive. One of those was Alex Rodriguez. That is the test that got him. So much for the tests being destroyed and the players’ privacy being protected. The government apparently got ahold of those tests and is now using them against players.
This is the same government that now wants to put our medical records on digital cards so that they can easily obtain
our records but says that our privacy will be protected. Also, the government will screen all procedures to decide if the treatment from your doctor is cost effective and, if it decides no, then you get denied treatment. If you are old and need an expensive procedure, you can probably forget it as it will be deemed not cost effective and you are expected to simply die with grace, I suppose. If you don’t know it…all of this is in the current version of the “Stimulus” package…socialized medicine is buried in it…but no one is telling you that. Here’s the part that should get your attention:
“The bill would spend $1.1 billion to create a Comparative Effectiveness Council, so that the federal government can decide on whether medical treatments are worth the money. Once the federal government decides how medicine should be practiced, according to the summary featured in a discussion draft of the bill, “interventions…that are found to be less effective and in some cases more expensive will no longer be prescribed.”
Anyway, Jose Canseco is an easily created clown of his own making. But so far, much of what he said has been true. Ken Caminiti is dead now but what he said appears to be true. Baseball claims that their study showed that 7-8% of the players tested positive. Do you believe that? Charges are that an official of the players union tipped off Rodriguez when tests were coming. Have you noticed how much home run numbers have come down in the last two years since the penalties came into effect in baseball? Do you believe anyone associated with the current players and owners in baseball? Bring back Kennesaw Mountain Landis and this foolishness would stop, methinks.
Weather Bottom Line:
We got pretty warm on Monday, though clouds held down the mercury a bit for the first
part of the day. Nevertheless, we tied a record high of 70. Otherwise the general forecast remains in tact with a bit of a consensus coming together. The NAM has dropped its idea of strong storms early on Wednesday and instead come around to the early afternoon. The GFS has met the NAM half way and also has an early afternoon biggest threat coming back from its late afternoon scenario. The helicities are still high and the SWEAT indicies are both relatively high but no longer is the GFS convinced of something in excess of 500, which I explained yesterday
always raises an eyebrow. But, there’s still not much CAPE showing up at alll. From observations of what is going on and based on the indecies, it would seem that we may have some gusty winds on Tuesday with some rain and then the risk of stronger winds with storms midday to mid afternoon on Wednesday. No problem at my house because the Ike and the ice took care of my trees already. I suppose that hail may be of a minor concern. While we cool down heading through the weekend, It doesn’t look to be too cold..mainly seasonal as the long wave flow continues to be generally zonal in nature. Until we get a big fat ridge out west, we won’t get too cold any time soon. Here’s the text for day 3…
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST MON FEB 09 2009
VALID 111200Z – 121200Z
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WED ACROSS A BROAD AREA EAST OF
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE APPALACHIANS….
SHORT TO MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A SERIES OF
VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE IMPULSES WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS INTO AND
THROUGH A BROADER SCALE TROUGH IN THE MAIN BELT OF WESTERLIES
CURVING FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC THROUGH THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH
CENTRAL UNITED STATES. ONE OF THESE SYSTEMS IS EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE PROCESS OF ACCELERATING OUT OF THE TROUGH…INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY 12Z WEDNESDAY…BEFORE CONTINUING
NORTHEASTWARD AND EASTWARD ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF SUBTROPICAL
RIDGING…INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST
REGION BY 12Z THURSDAY. A CONSOLIDATING DEEP SURFACE CYCLONE IS
PROGGED TO ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE…WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT
SURGING EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TOWARD THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD.
PRECEDING THIS FRONT…VERY STRONG FLOW FIELDS…ASSOCIATED WITH A
100+ 500 MB JET CORE AND BROAD 50-70 KT SOUTHERLY 850 JET…APPEAR
LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD A POTENTIALLY BROAD WARM SECTOR FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE APPALACHIANS.
…EAST OF LWR MS VALLEY INTO THE APPALACHIANS…
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT STRONGER FORCING…ASSOCIATED WITH THE
MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH…WILL REMAIN FAR ENOUGH NORTH THAT A
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE CLUSTER WILL NOT DEVELOP ALONG COASTAL AREAS
AND CUT-OFF A MODEST RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE FROM THE WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO. LATEST SREF AND MREF BOTH INDICATE A HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF
MID 50S+ SURFACE DEW POINTS AS FAR NORTH AS THE MISSISSIPPI/OHIO
RIVER CONFLUENCE BY 12Z WEDNESDAY…AND THIS SHOULD DEVELOP
EAST/NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY…BEFORE THE GULF INFLOW
BECOMES CUT OFF BY THE EASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT.
GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF EXPECTED FORCING THROUGH THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS…AND THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER
SHEAR THROUGH MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S…THE MAGNITUDE OF WARM SECTOR
DESTABILIZATION APPEARS TO BE THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE
POTENTIAL FOR A MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE CONVECTIVE EVENT.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE NORTHEASTWARD ADVECTION OF AN
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR THAT COULD PRECLUDE…OR
AT LEAST LIMIT…PRE-FRONTAL STORM DEVELOPMENT …AND ALLOW FOR THE
REALIZATION OF ONLY VERY WEAK CAPE–ON THE ORDER OF A FEW HUNDRED
J/KG–WHERE THE FRONT STRONGLY FORCES CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. WHILE
THIS COULD MINIMIZE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL…AND PERHAPS THE RISK FOR
TORNADOES…AN APPRECIABLE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS APPEARS TO
EXIST WITH AN ANTICIPATED FRONTAL SQUALL LINE
WEDNESDAY…PARTICULARLY ACROSS KENTUCKY/TENNESSEE…PARTS OF
INDIANA AND OHIO.