Two Men-Two Second Chances; Second Round of Ice/Snow


Kirby Alive and Well With Wife

Kirby Alive and Well With Wife

On This Date in History: 

Ken Kirby is a police officer in South Carolina.  He said that he was “healthy as an ox” his whole life until this past Christmas he started feeling nauseous and then had tightness in his chest and pain in his arms.  On December 27, he was rushed to the hospital and he went into cardiac arrest.  He died.  Then he was revived.  45 minutes later, his heart stopped again and the doctors told the family that they could not get a pulse.  He died again.  Several minutes after the family said their goodbyes, a nurse monitoring noticed a slight pulse had returned.  Kirby was back again.  He had surgery and an hour after the surgery he was sitting up and chatting to the family who just  a few hours prior said goodbye to the man who had died twice…and returned.Here is the local story with many details.  Here’s the whole story with video.  On this date in history, Ken Kirby is back on the job, a month after he rose from the dead, twice.

Richard III Jackson Assassin?

Richard III Jackson Assassin?

On This Date in 1835 another case of two chances was in the works. It wouldn’t happen for a couple of days but it was being planned by a handsome young man named Richard Lawrence.  He had lived a normal life until around 1832 when for unknown reasons he became delusional.  He really got into trouble when on this date he was fully involved in the belief that he was King Richard III!  He was obsessed with the notion that President Andrew Jackson had killed his father.  Now, Jackson was well known to be in the middle of a banking controversy but this one was a little different.  See, Lawrence, aka King Richard III, thought that Old Hickory was withholding funds of the monarchy in US banks.    So, he set out to kill Jackson.

Andy's Invincible!

Andy's Invincible!

On January 30, 1835 the 68-year-old Jackson was somewhat feeble and he leaned on the arm of a Cabinet member as he exited the House of Representatives where he had been attending a funeral for Congressman Warren Davis.  Hiding behind a column in the Capitol’s east portico was King Richard III…er…Richard Lawrence.  Underneath his cloak were two loaded pistols.  The would be King waited until the president was just 8 feet away when he lept from behind his hiding place raising both weapons.  He fired the pistol in his right hand.  The sound of the exploding percussion cap was heard all around the chamber.  It was pointed at near point blank range directly at the chest of of Jackson.  But…Old Hickory stood firm.  Suddenly, the old man raised his cane and an energy swelled once more in the old soldier as he began to chase the fleeing assassin.  Right when Jackson was almost on top of him, the assailant fired a second shot from the gun in his left hand.  Again…the sound echoed but nothing happened except King Richard was taken to the ground and escorted roughly from the scene. 

Statisticians (obviously with nothing better to do) have calculated that the odds of two pistols misfiring at 125,000 to 1.  Both guns were loaded correctly and both operated flawlessly in later tests.  It was a cold raw day…and the humidity was high.   Speculation is that the damp weather condition was responsible for the seeming impossible odds of failure. 

Key Called Assailant A Madman!

Key Called Assailant A Madman!

Now, no one had ever attempted an assassination before so the courts determined that the case would be treated as a simple assault.  At that time, it was but a misdemeanor.  The prosecutor has become a rather patriotic figure.  The Washington District Attorney who tried the case was none other than Francis Scott Key, who a few years before had penned the words to the Star Spangled Banner.  Key determined that King Richard III should be treated as a mad man and Lawrence was freed with an insanity plea. 

I’m not sure if he continued to think that he was King Richard III, but Lawrence did live a long time, though his life was confined to asylums where he died in 1861. 

Two men…174 years apart…escaped death not once, but twice.

nws0127

NWS Ice Forecast

NWS Ice Forecast

NWS Snow Forecast

NWS Snow Forecast

Weather Bottom Line:

I told you it would be a mess. Snow White and I had about an inch and a half of sleet on Monday night followed by about 3 inches of snow at our dwarf cottage.  She managed to put out food for the little creatures of the neighborhood around Piney, our big pine tree and we had all sorts of visitors.  But alas, our favorite pine tree that is home to so many squirrels, birds and bunny rabbits is in dire straights.  The light rain all day has accumulated on the branches and Piney is being weighed down.  Over the years he has lost some arms and I fear for the worst.  I always want exciting weather and love snow but I can do without the ice…I never want freezing rain.  I’ve been without heat twice already this season and don’t care to experience that again and do not wish that on anyone.  But, its possible.  We should continue to have frozen precipitation through the pre-dawn hours on Tuesday. While we could move up to just a shade above freezing for a time which may help melt some of the ice on the power lines and trees, the mercury will fall again.  Hopefully, the precip will fall as sleet and not so much freezing rain but the odds of there being no freezing rain are not good. 

NAM 12Z Tue Snow Through Wed Eve

NAM 12Z Tue Snow Through Wed Eve

I’ve included the NWS general forecast as well as their anticipated additional snow totals and ice accumulations.  Obviously, travel will be difficult on Wednesday.  The official snow total at Louisville was 4.1 inches for Tuesday and that is a record for the date, taking Louisville’s total for the season to 7.1 inches.  I think the average seasonal total is somewhere around 15.5 inches.  Lexington recorded 1.7 inches and Indianapolis had3.1 inches after 9pm with snow falling, meaning that the freezing rain line was farther south.  In Jackson County, they were reporting .25 to .50 inches of ice on Tuesday evening.  Other reports were similar. 

Now, we’ve got winds from the northeast and that will insure that cold air will remain at the surface.  The low has been running up from the southwest with a southerly component in the flow aloft that has brought us all of the overrunning moisture and warmer air aloft.  That’s why we haven’t had all snow.  Apparently someone on TV said that we can never get a major winter event with a southerly component and that is absolutely false as that is when we do get major events.  Also, I had a report that a tv guy said that a storm must come through within 24 hours of cold air coming in or we don’t get anything major.  This event shows the frivolity of that statement.  A lot of times guys on TV say things to try to make themselves sound like experts when they in fact, are not.  When I wasn’t sure, I just reported on what was happening instead of trying to make stuff up.  Thats what gives TV guys a bad name.  Cardosi is an ace and you won’t hear that kind of foolishness from him….anyway..enough editorializing…as the low moves by, all of the flow will turn out of the north but there will still be moisture in place.  So, our temperatures will fall, not only at the surface, but aloft as well which will put us back into the ability to form crystals at the upper levels instead of liquid.  So, instead of freezing rain or sleet, we will turn back to snow.  I tell you what…if the 12Z Tue models are correct, then this will be a real problem and the NWS forecast totals may be too low.  The NAM wants to through out .85 inches of freezing precipitation…mainly freezing rain.  Then on Wednesday after sunrise, it advertises 5.4 inches of snow if you use the 10 to 1 ratio.  The GFS wants to give us .72 inches of ice followed by 6.9 inches of snow on Wednesday.  Keep in mind too that the GFS has another 4 inches of snow on Monday and Tuesday…but thats another story and we’ll have to wait to see how it shakes out. 

GFS 12Z Tue Snow Accumulation Through Wed Eve

GFS 12Z Tue Snow Accumulation Through Wed Eve

So…here’s the prognastication.   I suspect that in many areas, the temperatures will be a shade above freezing so the amount of ice that forms may be a bit inhibited for awhile.  I would think another 1/2 inch of ice is certainly not out of the question.  Both models toss out a lot of snow but…I would think that using a 10-1 ratio is probably too much because  it will be a wetter snow…so if we use an 8-1 ration, you get 4-5 inches of snow, which still seems to be alot.  Take into account that some of it will probably fall as sleet initially so knock off another inch or so.  So, lets go with 2-3 inches of snow in Louisville after the icing with higher snow amounts to the north.  If you look at the model maps…toward Indianapolis, there may be about 10 inches of snow with not as much ice.  Hope we all make it through this okay and we don’t lose power.  Piney has already lost a big branch.  We’re sad.

2 Responses

  1. I think that the Kirby miraculous incident is absolutely amazing… Someone need to let him know that there is a book out with the title, Officer Lazarus by E. G. Lovett, that he must read….It is about a police officer who died and came back from the dead as well. You can see the book on Amazon.com or Barnes& Nobles.com. I read the book and it is absolutely amazing….

  2. Can you imagine the family, being told that dad was dead and they say good bye and then a few minutes later they say he’s come back to life? And how he had no brain damage is remarkable. I still like the Andy Jackson story too…two guns and both misfire…Andy might have been the first assassination, which may have made the government take more security for Lincoln than they had after the war.

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