Look for the local forecast below….
Today is the final day of the hurricane season in the North Atlantic. This past year, there were 8 hurricanes and 16 named storms. The forecast was about right on the named storms and short on the number of tropical cyclones that reached hurricane status. Five of the hurricanes were considered “major” hurricanes, which is a high percentage. So, the forecasters get a “B” in my book. Here is a list of all of the storms with an archive of the advisories.
I bet you didn’t know that Gustav was responsible for 46 deaths and $1.9 billion in damage.
The storm with the biggest impact on the US was Hurricane Ike. Curiously, the press did not really give it
much coverage after the storm was over even though I believe current cost estimates ($8.1 Billion) would put it as the 3rd costliest hurricane in US history behind Katrina and Andrew, though I’m sure there will be quibbling about cost vs. inflation adjusted costs. Ike also has so far been responsible for the deaths of 72 people with impacts far inland from its Galveston landfall. There are still scores of people missing. Yet, the press corps didn’t seem to think it was worth reporting. You make the call as to why. Here’s a published story. Anyway, over time, I had lots and lots of photos and videos associated with Ike from local video to NASA stuff. Take a gander at it all below:
NWS (more photos) Louisville
aerial video including Valhalla Louisville
RAW VIDEO FROM SUNDAY Louisville 9/14 aerials
link to the NYTimes slide show Galvestonians return to island
No Snow: I”ve tried to find an excuse to get you folks excited about snow but it just isn’t there. The 18Z
Meso-ETA is the model that I am using as an example and, while the GFS is a little colder, the Meso-ETA is pretty representative of the current thinking which is that the lower part of the atmosphere will be just too warm when the precipitation is falling. I guess the biggest difference is that the GFS would put out about a quarter to half inch of snow Monday night that may accumulate but we’re thinking that most of the moisture will be out of here by then. If you look at the 1PM Monday Meso-ETA precip, then compare it with the surface temperatures you will see that they are well above freezing. Then, the 900 mb temperatures are just above -4C which is about 25F and is about 800 meters off the deck…2500 feet or so. This is not a very good recipe for snow…maybe snow showers on Monday but accumulation will be tough and I wouldn’t be surprised to see some light rain mix in with any snow. Kids, you’re going to school. The week ahead looks cold with Wednesday the exception with highs in the low to mid 50’s ahead of another cold front.