Hurricane Hunter Set To Check Out Invest94L


Fay Sat 0824 2145Z

To Track Fay via radar imagery, you can click on this Interactive Radar (Click Here) and zoom in to street level, loop and navigate anywhere in the state of Florida, The South or the entire nation for that matter.

5 Day Rainfall Forecast 0825 00Z to 0830 00z

5 Day Rainfall Forecast 0825 00Z to 0830 00z

Tropical Storm Fay is now Tropical Depression Fay and will soon be just a

7 Day Rainfall estimate 0817 8am to 0824 8am

7 Day Rainfall estimate 0817 8am to 0824 8am

tropical low.  The center of circulation has broadened nicely.  Areas that got too much rain continue to get passing rain and t’storms.  As you can tell from the 7 Day rain accumulation through Sunday morning at right, areas like North Georgia that need the rain are getting some.  The moisture should stay bottled up in the South for a time as a frontal boundary pushes down.  By midweek, the system should lift north enough that some shower activity may move into the Ohio Valley.  But most of the rain will slip off to the east and bring the rain that they need in Eastern Tennessee and North Georgia, as you can tell from the HPC 5 day rain forecast at left. Except for the stories of woe from the heavy rain, Fay is pretty much done with and the National Hurricane Center has handed off Fay to the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) and is now concentrating its attention on other items of interest.

Invest 94L Sat 2145Z 0824 

Invest 94L Spaghetti Model 0824 18Z

Invest 94L Spaghetti Model 0824 18Z

Invest 95L is still out there and looks decent on satellite imagery.  As I said

Invest 94L Spaghetti Intensity Graph 0824 18Z

Invest 94L Spaghetti Intensity Graph 0824 18Z

before, all indications are that it will be of interest to mariners though I saw one model that wants to swing it close to the east coast, but still offshore.  Now, Invest 94L is looking so interesting that the National Hurricane Center has a couple of flights planned to investigate on Monday.  If the conditions remain worthwhile, the Hurricane Reconassaince folks will be out and about to see if a depression has formed.  Satellite imagery looks to show something trying to come together. The Invest 94L Spaghetti model indicates a wide variance of opinion with some models taking it up toward Florida while others wanting to take it to South America.  The truth is probably somewhere in between which is why this guy will need to be monitored.  Should it get going good and even sniff the Gulf of Mexico, we’ll all pay for it at the pump whether or not it even gets close to any drilling operations.  The spaghetti intensity graph remains muddled depending whether or not your model of choice runs it into land or even develops it any further.

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