Tropical Storm Fay To Lurk All Weekend; Don’t Forget the Rest of the Atlantic


for a more recent update on fay and other tropical systems, CLICK HERE

To Track Fay via radar imagery, you can click on this Interactive Radar (Click Here) and zoom in, loop and navigate anywhere in the state of Florida or the entire nation.

NHC Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Track 11pm 0821

NHC Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Track 11pm 0821

Fay continues to be a slow-poke. That is not good news. Early Friday morning it was

Tropical Storm Fay Spaghetti Model 0822 00Z

Tropical Storm Fay Spaghetti Model 0822 00Z

still hanging around a biker-bar in Daytona. While the official track takes it along the Florida Panhandle coast, do not be surprised to see this guy go over the Gulf for at least some time. Probably won’t amount to much except its just more time over a moisture source. The 00Z 5 day QPF from the Hydrological Prediction Center, there is a huge area expected to get 15 to 20 inches of rain from well east of Tallahassee to Mobile. The bullitt point is set at 21 inches. Otherwise, there’s nothing much different to report. Some of the tracks on

5 Day Rain Total Forecast (QPF) 0822 00Z

5 Day Rain Total Forecast (QPF) 0822 00Z

the spaghetti models are just nuts, but interesting.

You know what, when no one was looking, the National Hurricane Center suddenly

Invest 94L Spaghetti Model 0822 00Z

Invest 94L Spaghetti Model 0822 00Z

started saying that the area known as Invest 94L may start getting into an area that is conducive for development. On the one hand, 7 out of 11 models in the spaghetti intensity graph take it to hurricane status. On the other hand, the intensity graph has been indicating a developing storm for quite some time and it hasn’t happened. Now, this either means that the models are unreliable and do not have a handle on the storm at this point or that the models

Invest 94L Spaghetti Intensity Graph 0822 00Z

Invest 94L Spaghetti Intensity Graph 0822 00Z

have been on to something for some time because several have been wanting to develop the storm and its just a timing issue. One thing that is for certain is that this guy will bear monitoring and that the spaghetti models have all shifted the track south from the former cluster of tracks. Also, there is now a Invest 95L, which is a strong tropical wave behind 94L. Nothing too unusual…this is the heart of the North Atlantic Hurricane Season.

One Response

  1. Hi there — I am a former flood victim (I lost my home to a flood and had to rebuild it from scratch). I started a blog to help other flood victims rebuild their homes (dealing with recovery, insurance claims, contractors, etc.). It’s at http://harvardtohardhat.com/ if you want to check it out. I’m up in Rhode Island, but I feel for everyone in Florida big time and hope it helps some of the tropical storm victims.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: