The shortwave that was forecast to pass by this afternoon is not running on my train schedule and moved across a few hours early. Rain and t’storms will be in the area for the first part of the day. May be a good thing because, given it’s strength, had it come through in the heat of the day storms may have been more interesting.
Same story. Above is the SPC Outlook for Tuesday. I’ve got the discussion linked, followed by the SPC Day 3 part of the discussion that pertains to the Ohio Valley. There are no risk areas at this time for Wednesday.
Day Three outlook regarding Ohio Valley
…SYNOPSIS… PROGRESSIVE NRN STREAM PATTERN FCST TO CONTINUE THROUGH DAY-3. SHORTWAVE TROUGH — NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER AB — IS EXPECTED TO DIG ESEWD THROUGH DAY-2 PERIOD TO VICINITY LS. DURING THIS PERIOD…TROUGH SHOULD MOVE EWD AND DEAMPLIFY SOMEWHAT AMIDST LARGER BELT OF CYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH STRONGER TROUGH OVER JAMES BAY REGION. WEAK TROUGHING ALOFT — NOW OVER SRN ROCKIES AND 4-CORNERS REGION –SHOULD SHIFT EWD SLOWLY THROUGH PERIOD…WITH MOST PROGS REASONABLY INDICATING POSITIVELY TILTED STREAMER OF MAXIMIZED VORTICITY FROM LOWER OH VALLEY TO ERN/NERN NM BY 10/00Z. FARTHER E…UPPER LOW NOW OVER KY/WV BORDER REGION SHOULD DRIFT OFFSHORE MID ATLANTIC/TIDEWATER REGION DAY-2.