Saturday Potential


This is the day 4 outlook from the SPC. Keep in mind that they have the fringe of the slight risk in part of our viewing area for Thursday and Friday too with the line running just north of Louisville and then extending to a very broad area to the north. They cast a wide net. I put it in the possible, not probable range and suggest that their wide net is so large that it’s more of a CYA thing than anything else. If we get anything, it would most likely be in the afternoons. But, for Saturday, we have a frontal boundary coming through. The main center of energy is to the north so that would suggest that the best chances will be NNE. However, last I checked the timing was very good, though one model insisted on an earlier advance. It was the Canadian and was the odd man out. So, afternoon is the most likely scenario and the SPC feels like wind fields may be sufficient all the way down here to warrant the potential for something exciting. We’ll see. Here’s the SPC report as it pertains to our region.
FOR DAY 4/SATURDAY…WITH THE COLD UPPER TROUGH FORECAST TO CONTINUE
AMPLIFYING/CLOSING OFF OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION…RELATIVELY
STRONG WIND FIELDS IN THE MID LEVELS SHOULD DEVELOP AS FAR SOUTH AS
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. AHEAD OF THE EAST/SOUTHEAST ADVANCING COLD
FRONT…A RISK FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE TSTMS APPEARS LIKELY FOR MUCH
OF THE OHIO VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST STATES.

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