Peace That Brought War; 6 Flags Decapitation & other Accidents; Tropical Storm In Gulf?
June 28, 2009

Keynes Had it Going

Keynes Had it Going

On This Date in History:

The photo above is typically called “The Big Four.” It may be better called “The Big Dummies.” If you don’t know which one is President Woodrow Wilson, then shame on you. The guy with the big moustache is French President Georges Clemenceau. The one whose face you cannot see if British Prime Minister David Lloyd George who is talking to Italy’s Vittorio Orlando. Wilson had his 14 points at the end of World War I. This was his outline of what to acheive in a peace treaty. But Clemenceau wanted big reparations against Germany and make Germany the scaepgoat for the war. They ended up with something closer to what Clemenceau wanted. On June 5, 1919 British Economist John Maynard Keynes resigned his position at the Paris Peace Conference representing the British Treasury. He said that the harsh terms of the treaty would result in collapse of Germany, a revolution and followed by a later war involving Germany that would destroy that “civilization and progress of our generation.” He later wrote a book about it.

Versailles

The “Big Four” went ahead and forced Germany to sign the Treaty of Versailles on this date in 1919.

Keynes’ forecast was right on target for most historians agree, the seeds of World War II that destroyed much of Europe, parts of the Middle East and parts of Asia were sewn on this very date in the form of a “Peace Treaty.” It was perhaps better called a declaration of a future war. Keynes went on to live with a stellar reputation and continue his claim that the idealistic President Wilson was “the greatest fraud on earth.” Let us hope that should we get another idealistic president that future events would not necessitate the same analysis.

An interesting part of this is that Wilson did not include anyone from the Senate in his negotiations. This kinda po’d the Senate who had to ratify the treaty.   Particularly incensed was Sen. Henry Cabot Lodge.  A version of the treaty was eventually voted on but there were lots of amendments attached.  No matter, for the first time in US history, a peace treaty was rejected by the US Senate.  So, when reading history one can’t blame the Congress for the failure of the Treaty of Versailles.  Like Keynes, and not like Wilson and the other 3 leaders,  Congress actually was right about something.

This Part of Batman was fatal to those who got in the way

This Part of Batman was fatal to those who got in the way

On This Date a year ago:  After Six Flags’ Kentucky Kingdom had the incident in 2007  in which a young girl had her feet severed, a teenager got his head removed by a roller coaster at Six Flags’ Atlanta park. This one clearly was the park goer’s fault, but I never found out how it played out in the courts if it ever made it to court. Here’s the story from the time:

Six Flags Over Georgia Decapitation

Here’s a link to Youtube video to get an idea of what the ride is like. You can tell how close it comes to the ground.

Six Flags Batman Video

Here is a Sunday morning  after the accident version of the Six Flags Over Georgia Roller Coaster Death  It appears that this was not the first death associated with that particular ride.  In 2002, an employee went into the same restricted area and was killed, though I don’t think that decapitation was involved.  Theme park accidents are more common than you might think.  This person has a website devoted to nothing but theme park and carnival ride accidents.  A little interesting perhaps but certainly thought provoking.

Satellite view 1215Z Sun June 28, 2009

Satellite view 1215Z Sun June 28, 2009

This is probably not going to develop. It’s a system that has been hanging around near Cancun but has moved onto the Yucatan.   On Saturday morning it looked like it had potential to me but none of the hurricane models had really picked up on it enough, which surprised me a bit.  By Saturday evening, some of them had.  I think it was something like 8 of them with 6 taking it up to tropical storm strength.  About half took it across the southern Bay of Campeche with the rest having some oddball routes that crossed the Gulf.  On Sunday, with the storm centered over land, the hurricane models have lost interest again.   Even some of the conventional models don’t even show it living very long.  But, those that do take it into northern Mexico and keep it pretty pedestrian…say something between 1008 to 1o12 mb.    It’ worth watching though.

dayone

Weather Bottom Line: Late Saturday night there was an extremely impressive line of t’storms in the northern plains that looked poised to pounce on the Ohio Valley as a cold front was moving down.  With the cool of evening, the line pretty much pooped out.  Now, you see that the SPC has the slight risk for severe storms in Eastern Kentucky.   The idea is that the front will be southeast of the Louisville region in the heat of the day when the storms may  refire on that front.  Unless the front is pokey or backs up, then we should have temperatures reduced somewhat with a little lower humidity which a much more noticeable difference for the week ahead.  I would think that the only cause to pause would be the prospect that the front stays south of our area but not far enough to take the 850mb front out of our area.  In that case, we might want to keep an eye out for elevated storm developing on the 850 front.  Not a great possibility, but not out of the question.

Chances Fading; A Great Prediction; Six Flags Decapitation
June 28, 2008

First, the weather. Our position between the dying MCS to the southwest and enhanced activity to the northeast didn’t prove too fruitful. Much drier surface dewpoints are creeping in from the northwest Saturday evening. There is a broken line along a boundary well to the northwest. That is the nose of a strong jet streak that will swing around overnight. If there is sufficient ingredients, then that would be the source of support for rain, t’storms or perhaps strong storms. But, that feature could swing to our northwest, though as noted previously, there was some indication that we might be in the right rear quandrant of the streak. Even so, there are several inhibiting factors that will perhaps mitigate anything worthwhile. Worth watching but not worth altering plans Saturday evening.

On This Date in History: The photo above is typically called “The Big Four.” It may be better called “The Big Dummies.” If you don’t know which one is President Woodrow Wilson, then shame on you. The guy with the big moustache is French President Georges Clemenceau. The one whose face you cannot see if British Prime Minister David Lloyd George who is talking to Italy’s Vittorio Orlando. Wilson had his 14 points at the end of World War I. This was his outline of what to acheive in a peace treaty. But Clemenceau wanted big reparations against Germany and make Germany the scaepgoat for the war. They ended up with something closer to what Clemenceau wanted. On June 5, 1919 British Economist John Maynard Keynes resigned his position at the Paris Peace Conference representing the British Treasury. He said that the harsh terms of the treaty would result in collapse of Germany, a revolution and followed by a later war involving Germany that would destroy that “civilization and progress of our generation.” He later wrote a book about it.

The “Big Four” went ahead and forced Germany to sign the Treaty of Versailles on this date in 1919.

Keynes’ forecast was right on target for most historians agree, the seeds of World War II that destroyed much of Europe, parts of the Middle East and parts of Asia were sewn on this very date in the form of a “Peace Treaty.” It was perhaps better called a declaration of a future war. Keynes went on to live with a stellar reputation and continue his claim that the idealistic President Wilson was “the greatest fraud on earth.” Let us hope that should we get another idealistic president that future events would not necessitate the same analysis.

Decapitation at Six Flags Over Georgia: After Six Flags’ Kentucky Kingdom had the incident last year in which the young girl had her feet severed, a teenager got his head removed by a roller coaster at Six Flags’ Atlanta park. This one clearly the park goer’s fault, but it could be devastating to Six Flags nonetheless. Here’s the story:

Six Flags Over Georgia Decapitation

Here’s a link to Youtube video to get an idea of what the ride is like.  You can tell how close it comes to the ground.

Six Flags Batman Video

Here is a Sunday morning version of the Six Flags Over Georgia Roller Coaster Death

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