Skid Road to Skid Row: Seattle Pays Its Namesake For His Trouble
June 7, 2010

Skid Road Seattle

Skid Road Seattle

Skid Road Near Utsalady

On This Date in History:  In the early 1850′s, white settlers set up logging operations in what is now Seattle.  The settlement was mainly made up of men which prompted Asa Mercer to set up a scheme to import women to the region.  About 140 years later that effort was made famous in a television adaptation called Here Comes the Brides.   Now, what the area lacked in women it made up in timber.  The area was teeming with trees but they needed a way to easily get the felled trees to the sawmill set up in the town.   They used to skid logs down a chute on the main street to get them to the sawmill. The road came to be known as “skid road”.    Later, as the town’s main center moved north, the road was left in a dilapidated part of town filled with drunkards and derelicts. The part of town went from being known as “skid road” to “skid row” and today the term “skid row” has made its way into the American lexicon for the dilapidated area of any town in the country.

Skid Road Near Snoqualmie

By the end of the Civil War, business was blowing and going in the Pacific Northwest as westward expansion was back on the minds of Americans (it never really abated much) and there was the issue of reconstructing all of the destruction brought on by the Civil War.  So, Seattle was a growing, bustling town and skid road was no doubt a busy  timber thoroughfare. Amidst all of this,  On This Date in 1866, an Indian Chief died. He was a chief of the Duwamish and Suquamish tribes having gained the leadership of both tribes by having a Suquamish father and a Duwamish mother. He was born in the late 18th century and by the 1850′s,  when white settlers from America started setting up villages, the chief welcomed the strangers.   Inn homage to his kindness, the settlers named the village they set up on Puget Sound for him. They called it Seattle. Chief Seattle  (aka Sealth) was a pretty smart guy as, even though he thought the whites would eventually eradicate his people, he figured that fighting them would only hasten their demise. A couple of other tribes disagreed and started a war, only to surmise that Seattle was probably right all along and they too put down their weapons and made the best of the situation as they could.

Chief Seattle An Unlikely Benefactor For the Pacific Northwest

However, Chief Seattle had a little problem. In the Indian tradition, the mention of a dead man’s name would disturb his eternal rest and with a town bearing his name, the Chief would be quite restless in eternity. Well, the settlers couldn’t possibly change the name of their town. So, instead, they came up with a truly American solution.  For the discomfort of his having to live eternity in a restless state they thought that they would pay him to make his final years on earth a little more settled.  Americans from the beginning of the nation have been repulsed by the idea of taxation when they felt it was subjected on them by outside forces.  But this was different because the citizenry levied a tax on themselves to raise money for a little fund that they paid to Chief Seattle before he died as a payoff for the trouble he would be in when he passed from this world. On June 7, 1866 Chief Seattle died and by not living longer, Seattle gave one more gift to the people of the town that bore his name:  he saved the taxpayers of Seattle money.

SPC Severe Outlook Tuesday

Weather Bottom Line:  I have to say that in a quick analysis of the maps and other data, I was fully prepared to say that we have a decent risk of severe weather on Wednesday.  We have a low coming through the flow that will be just to our North and closer than the last one that moved west to east along the lower Great Lakes and brought a bunch of nasty weather from Northern Illinois through Northern Ohio over the weekend.  It seemed a reasonable assumption.  But, closer examination gives me some pause.

SPC Severe Outlook Wednesday

First off, I’ve seen several forecasts that have Tuesday with either an equal or even higher rain chance than Wednesday.  The boys at the SPC have our area on the eastern edge of the area of slight risk for severe weather on Tuesday.  Then, we’re on the western periphery of a smaller area for the Wednesday slight risk.  From observing the maps, I was not certain exactly why they would be so agressive on the Tuesday outline.  The only thing that I could figure was that they were looking at perhaps storms to the west holding together sufficiently to make it to our area before midnight.  I’m not so sure  I buy this.  We’ve got pretty dry air over us and I”m not so sure that the atmospheric column will destablize enough by late Tuesday to support any such storms.  The GFS does throw out a few showers on Tuesday afternoon but the NAM keeps us dry.

SPC Wed Severe Weather Probability

I had anticipated that severe parameters derived from forecast vertical profiles would reveal a healthy severe chance for Wednesday when the low actually comes close, we would have an extra day to reload the atmosphere with warm and more humid air and with some afternoon heating.  But, alas, neither the vertical profiles of the NAM or the GFS are very exciting for Wednesday either.  I am speculating that is the reason why the severe area for Wednesday is mainly to our east and also relatively small in areal coverage.  When the best dynamics swing through here, they come after midnight Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.  When the afternoon heating kicks in, those areas of greatest instability and dyanmic forcing is to our east.  This is all just a bunch of machines talking.  What I would expect would be increasing clouds and humidity on Tuesday and it will be mainly dry with perhaps some scattered stuff late Tuesday.  I will suppose that the SPC has a handle on this but will keep in mind that the low will not move quite as fast, thus providing a more elevated risk for rain and t’storms on Wednesday though I have only marginal data to support any real significant severe weather in our area.  In essence, for me I’m not so sure that Wednesday will be so sedate but would not anticipate wide spread death and destruction.  Things will be more clear on Tuesday.  We get much warmer by next weekend.

Just Leave Him a Tip In Exchange For His Eternal Unrest, But Don’t Leave Him On Skid Road
June 7, 2009

Skid Road Near Snoqualmie

Skid Road Near Snoqualmie

On This Date in HistoryOn This Date in 1866, an Indian Chief died.  He was a chief of the Duwamish and Suquamish tribes having gained the leadership of both tribes by having a Suquamish father and a Duwamish mother.  He was born in the late 18th century and by the 1850′s, white settlers from America started setting up villages.  The chief welcomed the strangers and in homage to his kindness, the settlers named the village they set up on Puget Sound for him.  They called it Seattle.  Chief Seattle was a pretty smart guy as, even though he thought the whites would eventually eradicate his people, he figured that fighting them would only hasten their demise.  A couple of other tribes disagreed and started a war, only to surmise that Seattle was probably right all along and they too put down their weapons and made the best of the situation as they could.   

However,  Chief Seattle had a little problem.  In the Indian tradition, the mention of a dead man’s name would disturb his eternal rest and with a town bearing his name, the Chief would be quite restless in eternity.  Well, the settlers couldn’t possibly change the name of their town.  So, instead, they levied a tax on themselves to raise money for a little fund that they paid to Chief Seattle before he died as a payoff for the trouble he would be in when he passed from this world.  On June 7, 1866 Chief Seattle died thus saving the taxpayers of Seattle money.

Skid Road Seattle

Skid Road Seattle

Skid Road Near Utsalady

Skid Road Near Utsalady

Here’s an interesting side note on Seattle.  They used to skid logs down a chute on the main street to get them to the sawmill.  The road came to be known as “skid road”.  Later when the town’s main center moved north, the road was left in a dilapidated part of town filled with drunkards and derelicts.  The part of town went from being known as “skid road” to “skid row” and today the term “skid row” has made its way into the American lexicon for the dilapidated area of any town in the country.

Monjune8

Weather Bottom Line:  The bottom line is that it’s a wonderful Sunday and I don’t feel like getting too involved in the weather.  Quite warm but pretty low humidity and a nice breeze. Snow White and I are going to the Filson to hear former Senator and Presidential Candidate George McGovern talk about his new book about Abraham Lincoln.  I can’t imagine that he’s come up with anything new about the 16th President except his perspective, which may be interesting considering his long life and career.  So, Phooey on the weather.  It looks like the SPC is interested in some worthwhile weather just to our west on Monday and some of the storms may live long enough to get close to us Monday night.  But, I’m not worrying about it now.  Just a guess…we won’t have support to maintain the storms and they would get here at night if they did arrive.  But, its a guess.  We’ll look closer at it tomorrow. 

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2009
  
   VALID 081200Z – 091200Z
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDWEST TO
   PORTIONS OF OK/AR…
  
   …SYNOPSIS…
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN CANADIAN
   PROVINCES AND NORTHERN ROCKIES ON MONDAY…WHILE A LEAD SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH…AMIDST A BROAD CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW REGIME…PIVOTS
   NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST/WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION.
   PRIMARY COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
   MIDWEST/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY…WHILE THE PLAINS PORTION OF THE
   FRONT SLOWLY SLIPS SOUTHWARD AND STALLS ACROSS OK.
  
   …MIDWEST TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS…
   SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   MIDWEST/WESTERN GREAT LAKES VICINITY. MUCH OF MONDAYS DETAILS DEPEND
   ON EARLY DAY CONVECTION/CLOUD COVER…BUT IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT A
   DIURNAL UPSWING IN DEEP CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/INTENSITY WILL OCCUR
   MONDAY AFTERNOON ALONG/AHEAD OF THE EASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT
   AND/OR PREFRONTAL TROUGH.
  
   THE PARENT UPPER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM
   THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON…BUT MODERATELY STRONG WESTERLY FLOW
   ALOFT AND A BROAD MOIST/POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR WILL
   SUPPORT A SEVERE RISK ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF IL/MO/INDIANA
   MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. A MIXED MODE OF SOME INITIAL SUPERCELLS
   WILL BE POSSIBLE…BUT OTHERWISE AN EVOLUTION TO MULTICELLULAR
   CLUSTERS/SMALL BOWING COMPLEXES SEEMS LIKELY. SEVERE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WINDS WILL LIKELY THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. EVEN WITH A TENDENCY
   FOR VEERING/WEAKENING LOW LEVEL FLOW…A FEW TORNADOES MAY BE
   POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF IL/INDIANA…AND POTENTIALLY INTO
   LOWER MI IN VICINITY OF NORTHWARD RETREATING WARM FRONT AND
   APPROACHING SURFACE LOW. IN ADDITION TO LOWER MI…THE SEVERE THREAT
   MAY REACH PORTIONS OF WESTERN/NORTHERN KY AND WESTERN OH MONDAY
   NIGHT.
  
   FARTHER SOUTHWEST IN VICINITY OF THE FRONT…THE COVERAGE OF TSTMS
   IS EXPECTED TO BE MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MONDAY
   AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH SOUTHWESTWARD EXTENT FROM THE OZARKS INTO
   OK/NORTHERN AR. SUPPORT ON THE LARGE SCALE WILL BE MORE MARGINAL
   ACROSS THE REGION VIA NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY RISING HEIGHTS.
   NEVERTHELESS…FRONTAL FORCING AND STRONG HEATING /ESPECIALLY IN
   VICINITY OF DRYLINE INTO OK/ SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO AT LEAST
   LOCALLY ERODE THE CAP BY AROUND SUNSET. RELATIVELY STRONG MID/HIGHER
   LEVEL FLOW…STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 2000-3500 J/KG
   MLCAPE…WOULD SUPPORT SOME SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL AS THE PRIMARY
   RISK. A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET /AROUND 35-40 KT/ ACROSS
   NORTHWEST TX/WESTERN OK MAY SUPPORT A CONTINUED HAIL THREAT ACROSS
   OK/NORTHERN AR MONDAY NIGHT.
  
   …UPPER OH VALLEY/PA VICINITY TO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION…
   AS A WARM FRONT RETREATS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION AND LOW LEVEL
   MOISTURE INCREASES…ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD
   DEVELOP/DIURNALLY INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON…INITIALLY OVER PA AND
   THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ADJACENT WV/VA. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
   AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER TSTMS.
  
   …CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS…
   BENEATH MODERATELY STRONG CYCLONIC UPPER LOW…MID/UPPER 40S F
   SURFACE DEWPOINTS COMBINED WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE AND
   DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ALONG THE SOUTHEAST WY/NORTHEAST CO FRONT RANGE
   WILL LIKELY RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT MONDAY
   AFTERNOON. WITH MODEST BUOYANCY AND 40+ KT MID LEVEL FLOW…SOME
   SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. ONE OR MORE WEAKLY
   ORGANIZED TSTM CLUSTERS SHOULD DEVELOP EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER
   OF NORTHEAST CO AND WESTERN NEB/NORTHWEST KS MONDAY
   EVENING/NIGHT…WITH THE SEVERE THREAT EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
   DIMINISH AFTER DARK.
  
   ..GUYER.. 06/07/2009

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