Hurricane Ike Damage Aftermath; Tropics Have A Little Action; Bernie Takes Red Stick and Galveston Gets Its Name
September 21, 2008

A Lonely Longhorn On Crystal Beach

A Lonely Longhorn On Crystal Beach

for more photos and video of hurricane ike damage and aftermath, CLICK HERE

A little upper level low developed just to the southwest of Louisville on Friday and more or less stayed put on Saturday.  It produced some morning showers and then, as expected, it kicked off some isolated showers in the afternoon. The folks at Valhalla got nervous at one point and issued a weather warning for a storm…well…. a heavy shower with no lightning…over Okolona that never moved nor expanded.  It just went away as fast as it developed and the Americans were not thwarted by the weather in the attempt to retain control of the Ryder Cup, unlike the Houston Astros who had their hot streak snuffed by Hurricane Ike and thus will be staying in Houston this fall.  Let’s hope that the upper low behaves itself again on Sunday as it wanders slowly northeast and weakens considerably as it does so.  However, the general story will be the same as it was on Saturday with a mix of clouds and sun.  Many of those from out of town will consider it quite humid but it really won’t be that bad, just more humid than it has been.  The increase in humidity with a little afternoon heating in combination with the dying upper low will allow for some scattered afternoon activity.  In general, if they  get rain on Valahalla or wherever you are on Sunday, you will be unlucky.  We need the rain, so in that sense you would be lucky as rain is not in the forecast for the next several days as we stay in a pattern with overnight lows in the mid 60′s and afternoon highs in the mid 80′s for the balance of the week into next weekend.

Hurricane Ike from the ISS 9/10/08

Hurricane Ike from the ISS 9/10/08

Tropical Weather: 

Here is a link to more Hurricane Ike Damage aftermath photos. Its a long slide show from the Associated Press with lots of photos, some of which are from Haiti but a bunch from Houston and Galveston, Bolivar Peninsula, Gilchrist and Crystal Beach, the latter 3 basically being non-existant after Hurricane Ike.  Now, its probably too early but there is a new disturbance that may have some merit in watching. 

Invest 93 spaghetti model 0920 00Z

Invest 93 spaghetti model 0921 00Z

It’s Invest 93 and the spaghetti models suggest a move northwest toward perhaps

Invest 93 spaghetti model intensity graph 0921 00Z

Invest 93 spaghetti model intensity graph 0921 00Z

the Southeast US Coast. I saw a couple of models create a tropical cyclone and move it either inland or up the coast in the week ahead. But its pretty early and I hesitate to post the spaghetti models, particularly the intensity version because the models are sorta grasping at straws as they are too dumb to be able to initiate it properly.  So, you have a range from a near Cat 2 hurricane to a tropical depression.  We’ll have to wait and see. Remember, Hurricane Season goes until the end of November in the North Atlantic.  I’m sure the people of Galveston are glad to hear that.

Galvez Statue in New Orleans

Galvez Statue in New Orleans

On This Date in History:  Galveston has been in the news lately and on this date in 1779, its namesake was in the news.  Bernardo de Galvez was a Spanish military officer and Louisiana Governor who sent explorer Jose de Evia to chart the land from Texas Coast to New Orleans.  Evia wandered into a bay near the mouth of a river and named it for his boss.  Also established was Galvez Town.  I suppose the other two were Galvez Bay and Galvez Island but later it all became known as Galveston.  Funny thing is that, not only is there nothing that I know of in Texas named for Evia, but also Evia made his declarartion of name on July 23, 1786 which was the same year that Bernie Galvez died so he never stepped foot on the island or the town or sailed the bay that bore his name.  I don’t think that Evian Water has anything to do with Jose either. 

Anyway, several years before,  Bernie was helping out the Yanks.  See, the Spaniards didn’t forge an alliance with the upstart colonists in North America because they didn’t want to give Spanish citizens any ideas.  I mean, the notion of revolting against a sitting monarch may sound good to the peasants but is not to pleasing to the King.  So, instead they forged an alliance with the French, who had forged an alliance with the colonies.  Seems the Spanish were pretty smart because not long after the American Revolution the French got rid of their own king. 

Anyway, the Spanish were like the French in that they didn’t have any great love for the American colonists but did have a bone to pick with the British. It’s an old saying that the enemy of my enemy is my friend and in this case, the Spanish really wanted to solidify their holdings in North America and also they wanted Gibralter back from the British.  So, in a move to support the French who were supporting the Americans, Galvez attacked and captured the city of Baton Rouge on this date in 1779 from the British and had the redcoats so up a tree that they also forced them to give up Natchez in what is now Mississippi.  That move effectively gave the Spanish and French control of the lower Mississippi River and allowed them to send supplies all the way to the Ohio Valley, no doubt helping out George Rogers Clark who was manning the fort at Louisville. Galvez went on to kick the Brits out of Pensacola and later the Spanish took East Florida, which it  later exchanged for the Bahamas. The Spanish never did wrest Gibraltar from British control, Spain but did win all the land surrounding the Gulf of Mexico.

Galvez was quite a guy but given that he never saw the stuff in Texas named after him and the guy who did all the work and took the risk is not remembered for anything, I wonder just how much of the conquering he really did or if he just stayed in the rear with the gear while his men did all the work.  But none of it really mattered in the end if you think about it because for all their planning and cunning, the Spanish eventually got tossed out of North America, as well as the French, and those poor little colonists whom they only cared about because they were fighting England ended up getting the whole pie….the American Pie.

Hurricane Ike Preliminary Reports; Upper Low Close to Valhalla; 3rd Time’s The Charm For Chet Arthur
September 20, 2008

Hurricane Ike Prior to Landfall

Hurricane Ike Prior to Landfall

The preliminary reports from the NWS and the National Hurricane Center are in regarding Hurricane Ike.  Be careful regarding some of the data.  You will notice that at IAH they reported a lowest pressure of 961 mb yet they translated that into 29.97 in.  I think that should be 28.97 in.  Also, Scholes Field on Galveston reported a low pressure of 1002 mb.  Nonsense. I played a Rugby Tournament at Scholes Field and can tell you that it was very close to where the eye passed over.  I suspect that the instruments failed as the storm was approaching.  In any event, it is what it is, which is “preliminary” and I’m sure that there will be corrections or footnotes when the final report is issued.  The second link is really about the life of the storm with links to images and all sorts of stuff. The first is data pertaining to the NWS Houston region.

Here is the NWS Houston preliminary report

Here is the NWS Hurricane Ike preliminary report

For photos, video and stories pertaining to Hurricane Ike Damage, CLICK HERE and scroll down.  There’s lots of stuff in several posts.

Ryder Cup: An upper low snuck up from the south rotating up.  Between the heating and the fringe of the disturbance to the SW, a little shower popped up at Bowman Field in Louisville on Friday.  But never fear, the disturbance will move through but is weakening as it moves over the area.  Short wave ridging should build in on Saturday and for the most part snuff it out, though an isolated shower can’t be ruled out.  Nevetheless,  all in all, the general forecast will hold….just a little wrinkle for a few…let’s just hope those few are not teeing it up at Valhalla. So, it will be for most warm afternoons with partly cloudy skies with cool nights.  The Yanks are off to a good start with Boo and JB leading the way.  Do you really think the Euros can be Americans with names like Boo and JB?

At least he looked good!On This Date in History: Rutherford B. Hayes served as President from 1877 to 1881.  The man who took his place was Congressman James A. Garfield from Ohio.  I don’t think he ever made it to General in the Union Army but had served with some distinction as a Colonel.  He was a conservative who won the election and was inaugurated in March of 1881.  Remember, originally, inauguration day was in March.  Later it was moved to January 20.  Anyway, Garfield had the misfortune of getting the way of the bullet from the gun of a nutbag, disgruntled ( I love that adjective) office seeker, Charles Guiteau.  Garfield was in a train station on July 2, 1881 and was shot in the back.  He lingered for several months and it is widely speculated that he may have survived had they had him up and walking around, getting stronger.  I”ve read that he got weak and died and I’ve read that he died of an aneurism or some other complication.   In any event, he died on September 19, 1881 and Vice-President Chester Alan Arthur was sworn in  on this date in 1881.  From jail, Guiteau wrote to Arthur claiming credit for his elevation to the highest office in the land.  I suppose that he was lobbying from death-row for that evasive political appointment.   It was the second time in American history that the United States had three presidents in one calendar year.  The other time it happened was in 1841 when President Martin Van Buren gave way to William Henry Harrison who got pneumonia at his inaugural (Marth 1841) after Harrison walked a very long parade route and then gave a very long winded speech in sub-freezing temperatures.  He died a month later and John Tyler became president.

Chester Alan Arthur was basically a political hack who had served as New York Port Authority Commissioner during a time of great corruption on the New York docks.  He served just one term…a term described by former President Hayes as one of “liquor, snobbery and worse.”  He was not only not re-elected but didn’t even get the nomination of his party for another term.  Just as well. He would have died in office had he been allowed to run and if he had won because he died in November 1886 and then we would have had another VP take over the helm.  Arthur otherwise would have been lost to the pages of history except that he seems to have been one of our more dapper presidents and also more recently showed up in the 3rd Die Hard movie with Bruce Willis, Samuel L. Jackson and Jeremy Irons when the clue is the 21st President of the United States.  The school that was threatened by the terrorists was named for him.  No one knew who it was…except for the truck driver Jerry who proudly told Bruce Willis all about Chet Arthur.  I think to this day, Jerry still knows more than anyone else about Chester Alan Arthur.

Hurricane Ike Before and After Photos; Ryder Cup Begins In Louisville(while I still have no electricity)
September 19, 2008

Hurricane Ike Radar Image At Landfall

Hurricane Ike Radar Image At Landfall

I’m not certain how much longer I am going to be updating Hurricane Ike Damage and such.  I’ll probably start limiting this to more interesting or new developments.  But, the map above should give those of you who are not familiar with the area and idea of where the hurricane struck and where the big surge was.  You’ve seen me post photos(Link..scroll down for all the pics and videos) from Crystal Beach, Gilchrist and High Island on Bolivar Peninsula and I’ve related how the eye of the storm went over the east end of Galveston Island and up Galveston Bay with the eye staying just east of Downtown Houston. The presented the area just to the east of the eye passage the maximum storm surge and winds.  Here are USGS Before and After photos from Bolivar Peninsula.  The contrast is stark and is a good illustration of the power of water.  Note the absence of even pilings from the houses.  From the damage photos, I have speculated that it is quite possible that not only did they get a 10-15 foot storm surge, but also a lot of wave action on top.  There are stretches where nothing is there. (Graphical Map of Crystal Beach Detailing Devastation) This area will be under inspection for quite some time, not just from structural and civil engineers trying to figure out how best to rebuild the area, but also by meteorologists.  The National Hurricane Center did a fly over of the region and all the way over to Lake Charles, LA to get a birds-eye view.  The SW Louisiana coast, about 100 miles east of landfall, in many cases reported higher surges than that experienced by the much stronger Hurricane Rita in 2005.  Here is the story about the NHC fly-over.

In the aftermath of the storm, there are scenes and stories that are pretty familiar.  Folks complaining about FEMA and other government agencies.  People are being blocked from returning to Galveston and there are still people on Bolivar Peninsula who refuse to leave. No water, no electricity, no food, no services and in many cases, no other buildings around.  Yet…they stay.  Not sure what they’re trying to prove.  Here is a link to a pile of videos of the latest stories coming out of Houston/Galveston.

Numerous videos from Houston/Galveston Aftermath of Hurricane Ike

In Louisville, we’re making progress.  By 5pm on Thursday, 180,000 customers had been restored their power while 121,000 remain in the dark.  Snow White and I remain in the stone age.  We spent the day sculling up the Ohio River.  The weather is just perfect.  Winds were nearly calm when we started and then picked up a bit from the Northeast.  But the wave action wasn’t too bad and there weren’t too many boats on the river….though the barge that came by was a challenge…one we both met as not only I beat the barge back to the refuge of the creek, but Snow White also muscled her way back to the friendly confines.  Actually, its the smaller run-about boats that cause the bigger wakes that present the problems.  The barges are usually of perhaps greater amplitude but much longer wave lengths.  Here is the story about 300 National Guard Troops who have now come to aid Louisville.  Here is access to links to some of the latest photos and stories cocerning the efforts and damage in the Louisville area.  Here is a story of how the storm affected agricultural interests.

The forecast for the weekend and the Ryder Cup looks great.  The mornings will be in the low 60′s and the highs in the mid 80′s.  Fair to partly cloudy skies will reign. 

The Ryder Cup: We’ve been talking about the Ryder Cup for some time now as it visits our fair (and partly dark) city.  I keep on waiting for the official sponsor to be Ryder Truck Rental. I mean, if the horse Big Brown could be sponsored by UPS, why not?  Corporate sponsors are everywhere messing up traditions.  But this tournamment is not so much about money as it is prestige.  It means about $115 million to the Louisville economy, which explains why the power needs of the tournament were quickly made whole…while I’m still in the dark.  But there is no prize money for the players who are used to playing for big paychecks.  It’s kinda nice to see professonal athletes playing for pride of country.

The history of the tournament is a bit muddled.  It is played every other year.  Originally it was a match between teams of the United States and Great Britain.  But, in the early 1970′s the tourney lost some of its luster because there were so many more top players from the US than the UK.  So, Jack Nicklaus came up with the idea that instead of having players born in the US and the UK, instead make it between players born in the US and Europe.  That made it much more competitive and in recent years, the Europeans have been dominating. 

There is one story that the original idea to pit the best American professionals against the best British professionals came from Inverness Club President Sylvanus P. Jermain in 1921.  Another says that it was first proposed by Golf Illustrated’s James Hartnett in 1920.  Either way, the first informal match took place in 1921 in Gleneagles, Scotland.  Another took place in 1926 before the British Open. In both instances, the Americans were trounced.    One of the spectators was English seed merchant Samuel Ryder.  He had tea after the 1926 match with some of the team members from both sides and it was decided to make the tournament a regular event and Ryder was assigned the duty of coming up with a trophy.  He donated a solid gold cup worth 250 pounds designed by the Mappin and Webb Company.  Ryder insisted that a golfing figure be put atop the cup with his friend and then world class British Golfer Abe Mitchell.  So that’s a good trivia question.  Jerry West was the model for the NBA logo, who was the model for the golfer atop the Ryder Cup? 

As for the name?  I suppose if you donate the cup, you get to name it for yourself.

Hurricane Ike Damage Fantastic Photos; Louisville Area Damage; No More Fun Around the Maypole!
September 17, 2008

Not So Fun If the Wave Washes The Kid Into The Gulf

Not So Fun If the Wave Washes The Kid Into The Gulf

Check Out the Background Waves

Check Out the Background Waves

snoop through this post for some great sources for photos and video; scroll to previous posts for other links

While the above photo is pretty cool, it also shows the stupidity of people.  The waves were breaking over the seawall and it made for a fun time in Galveston before Ike arrived.  But, it is no fun getting washed off the seawall and into an angry ocean. That’s precisely what happened in Corpus Christi.  I have not heard if the young man’s body was ever recovered.  If you look at the LA Times slideshow, you will see one photo of a woman smiling after she terrorized her young child by taking her to the edge of the rough surf.  Nuts.  Check out the photo at the left where some folks were getting rescued before the storm hit….look at the size of the waves crashing on the beach behind them.  That is pretty wild for Galveston which is normally a pretty tranquil beach.  Not exactly a surfer’s paradise.

Here is an abolutely fabulous slide show from the Boston Globe (28 photos) some of the photos you have seen before but the clarity of these is just fantastic.  i have reproduced one of the just to the right.  It’s in a thumbnail but you have to open it.  It shows Gilchrist, Texas which is on Bolivar Peninsula a few miles to the east of the Galveston Bay entrance.  You can see that the houses have

Gilchrist, Texas-Wiped Clean

Gilchrist, Texas-Wiped Clean

 been wiped clean.  It is obvious from these pictures and the gouges in the land from the water rushing back to sea that these guys got kicked in the teeth by the big storm surge, perhaps not just a rise of water but a rush.  This is why I have said that I suspect that had Ike been about 20 miles farther west and just a little stronger, then it is very likely that Galveston would be facing a huge calamity.  As it was, I am have seen published reports that parts of downtown Galveston (along the Strand) had 6 feet of water and I have been told that is some places it was 12 feet.  That is water coming from the bay side, not the front side of the island with the sea wall. You need to install the HD program but this is a link to some GREAT HD images from Galveston, et al.

Anchorage Area of Louisville

Anchorage Area of Louisville

I’m thinking that there must be power issues all up Ike’s path.  From Houston to

Louisville Boat Club

Louisville Boat Club

 Dayton, there are about 9 cities that are not being counted in the Nielson ratings because of a lack of data…the power is out so the meters have nothing to read.  The Ohio Valley got it a little more than other areas because, as the storm came through near midday, the winds aloft were howling.  The sun had broken out and we got heating up to the upper 80′s. That allowed the winds aloft to mix down to the surface.  As of Tuesday, a little less than 200,000 customers are without power, most of it residential.  Snow White and I walked about the neighborhood on Monday night and found that people didn’t sit around and wait for someone

Taylorsville Rd-Louisville

Taylorsville Rd-Louisville

else to clean up their area.  They got themselves out and cleared blocked streets and cut

Scottsburg Indiana

Scottsburg Indiana

 up downed trees on their own.  Pretty remarkable  but good to see self-reliance. I’ve posted some photos of Louisville-area damage via the NWS (more photos) that includes some sunken boats on the river.  On the other hand, we still have reports of stupid fights over boxes of cereal at the store or fighting in gas lines…then there is the fight over a taco at Taco Bell.  The mayor still insists that there is no looting.  Aside from finding a way to eat, the power outage isn’t that much of a big deal.  No TV or no computer. The phone company has my phone working again and our weather is great with lows in the 50′s and highs in the 70′s.  We’ll move to the low to mid 80′s for the weekend and the Ryder Cup but humidity is low and will stay that way.  Snow White made me a peanut butter sandwhich with that stuff that is a mixture of peanut butter and jelly.  I’ve never had it before. I bet I won’t like it but one can’t complain.  Meanwhile, the cats are dining on their Salmon and Tuna.  Nit and Wit are eating better than I am.  Here is a report with aerial video including Valhalla with some of the damage.

On This Date In History: Thomas Morton was an English lawyer who arrived in the Massachusetts Colony in 1625 as part of a number of people who settled about 25 miles from Plymouth near present day Quincy.    The rather stern “Puritan Saints” had landed at Plymouth a few years earlier and thought of New England as a “hideous and desolate wildnerness full of wild beasts and wild men!”  I’m sure that’s what some present day visitors from rural America might think about San Francisco.  But really, I’m not sure what the Puritans expected to find…Ye Olde Malt Shoppe on every corner?  Anyway, Morton wasn’t so dour as he thought the land was “paradise” and that he found the Indians to be “more full of humanity” than the Christians who had gotten there before him…in other words…the Puritan Saints. 

Raising the Maypole

Raising the Maypole

The leader of the group near Quincy left for the milder climate of Virginia and Morton and a dozen cohorts took advantage by throwing out the second in command, releasing the indentured servants and going about exploiting the fruits of their paradise.  They renamed the place Merry Mount and in 1627 reintroduced “revels of merriment after the olde English cutom.”  They put up a maypole and invited the neighboring Indians to join in a days-long  fertility rite with lots of beer flowing, dancing and amenities of erotic nature.    Perhaps not suprisingly, Merry Mount became quite popular with fur traders.  Guess whose business suffered?  The grumpy old puritans, who thought that such mingling with the natives and their “wickedness” would undermine their own resolve which was so rigid that “unseemly laughter” was prohibited, not to mention any sort of revelry.  I guess their resolve wasn’t so resolute as they were afraid others having fun would spoil their grumpiness.  So, in an attempt to revive their own flailing fur trade and make certain that everyone was grumpy, the Puritans sent a group of armed me to Merry Mount and make it not so merry.  They captured Morton and left him on an island.  They put him on a boat back to England to face charges of selling guns and spirits to the Indians but the Mother Country wouldn’t prosecute.  So, in 1629 Morton went back to Merry Mount .

Chopping Down the Maypole

Chopping Down the Maypole

Puritan leaders John Winthrop and John Endicott hailed his return by cutting down his Maypole and on this date in 1630 put Morton in the stocks and seized his property.  Then they exiled him to England and burned down his house.  Again, the English courts refused to prosecute but Morton was thwarted at his attempt to get the charter for the Massachusetts Bay Colony revoked.  For some stupid reason, Morton returned to where he was obviously not welcome and was thrown in irons without fire or blankets.  Finally, when they determined that he was “old and crazy” Winthrop had Morton released.  What a great guy.  Morton died in 1646.  The moral to this story is if you want to pursue a life of merriment in the face of great grumpiness, make certain that you and your merry makers are better armed than the grumps.

More Hurricane Ike Damage Photos/Video; Crystal Beach Before and After; Lootin’ Means Shootin’ & Smokin’ With Willie
September 16, 2008

Don't Mess With Texas

Don't Mess With Texas

Ryder Cup Clean-Up At Valhalla

Ryder Cup Clean-Up At Valhalla

for additional Hurricane Ike Damage photos and video from Texas and the Louisville area, CLICK HERE. 

In Louisville, Hurricane Ike left over 300,000 Louisville Gas and Electric customers without power.  By Monday evening, that number was down to 215,000.  A problem that is hampering efforts, aside from the number of lines down, is that some of the LG&E folks had gone to Texas to help out with restoring power in that state.  Now, the state of Kentucky is experiencing its largest power outage ever.  Several counties in Indiana are not only without power, but also under a state of emergency.  Just like the LG&E folks help out in other areas of the country, others will come to the Commonwealth to pitch in.  Well, other states in the region have their own problems and many of their folks are also down in Texas.  So, they just had a press conference and announced that it may be 10-14 days before power is fully restored. Great…guess who has

I-45 South 7 Miles from Galveston

I-45 South 7 Miles from Galveston

no power?  I’m glad our weather will be dry with cool nights and warm afternoons.  Don’t worry, the Ryder Cup will come off  without a hitch. The clean up is in full force and there was only minor damage at Valhalla. You folks should see the people crowding into the gas stations and grocery stores that are open.  And the fast food joints that are open are running out of food.  One thing we don’t have is looting.  The mayor got a bit testy when a reporter even uttered the word.  From the picture above, you can see that they probably don’t have much of a looting problem either…..if they do, it won’t last for long.  Looters will find out the reason why people have guns in Texas.

Not Such a Crystal Beach after Ike

Not Such a Crystal Beach after Ike

Speaking of Tejas.  Crystal Beach is just to the east of Galveston Bay.  Galveston Island is on the west side of the entrance to the bay while Bolivar Peninsula with Crystal Beach is on the east side of the entrance.  Bolivar Peninsula was immediately to the right of the eye of Ike as it made landfall which means that it caught the full force of the winds and surge.  At the bottom are more photos from Texas.  One is a slide show from a Boston TV station.  The others are video of Crystal Beach.  One is directly after the storm but the others are from Crystal Beach before Ike so you can get an idea of what it looked like.  The after images shows ravines gouged out by the water is it retreated to the sea.  Crystal Beach is almost wiped clean in some places.

You can see other photos and videos from Hurricane Ike Damage by clicking HERE and HERE.

President Carter

President Carter

On This Date In History: Remember during the 1976 Presidential election how Jimmy Carter used his stellar integrity as a campaign club? Remember the famous “lust in my heart” comment and the focus on his Southern Baptist upbringing? President Carter was extremely bright. He served honorably in the United States Navy as a Captain directly under the command of Admiral Hyman Rickover aka the “father of the nuclear navy”. President Carter was known as a peanut farmer in campaign literature but the truth is he was a nuclear engineer of great ability. He and President Herbert Hoover are the only academically trained engineers to serve as President…you can draw your own conclusions. Anyway, all of this makes what happened in the middle of September 1980 all that more remarkable.

On this date in 1980, the old Red Headed Stranger was probably feeling pretty good about himself.  Just three days before, on September 13, 1980 President Carter hosted a concert by none other than Willie Nelson at the White House. Willie Nelson of “Whiskey River” and “Outlaw” fame. Willie Nelson on his 3rd marriage at the time. Later Nelson went on to run up an interesting rap sheet of marijuana arrests and was convicted of failure to pay his income taxes. Not one to be kept down, Willie made a new record called The IRS Tapes: Will You Buy My Dreams? A lot of people did because Willie paid back the hundreds of thousands, if not millions(I can’t remember how much it was) in back taxes.
 
Willie Nelson

Willie Nelson

But, I suppose to forgive is Divine, especially if you are forgiving a country music star with some good tunes. Seems President Carter liked to listen to Nelson’s music while pondering policy and other items associated with the pressures of being President. Carter told Rolling Stone magazine, “All the good things I did as president, all the mistakes I made — you can blame half of that on Willie.” Nelson, who was a public supporter of NORMAL (National Organization for Reform of Marijuana Laws) exercised his protest right, I suppose, by lighting up what he called “a big fat Austin torpedo” while on the White House roof. That would be a giant joint for all of you lacking in the hip verbiage of the day. Carter said he never knew about it but Nelson claims the Secret Service kept a sharp eye on him while he sparked up on the Carter White House roof. Nelson has traced his lineage to the American Revolution. Perhaps he was doing his version of the Boston Tea Party as he toked away on top of the Presidential residence.

 

 

Hurricane Ike Damage -Boston WCVB Slide Show 63 images

Crystal Beach Video-Before Hurricane Ike

Crystal Beach Family Photo Video-Before Hurricane Ike

Crystal Beach Video-After Hurricane Ike Destruction

Remnant of Ike Poses an Interesting Challenge-Ryder Cup Looks On Par
September 14, 2008

Ike IR satellite 0914 345Z

Ike IR satellite 0914 345Z

Tropical Storm Ike Forecast Track 0913 11pm

Tropical Storm Ike Forecast Track 0913 11pm

for a more recent update on Hurricane Ike including damage photos and video, CLICK HERE

For a Tropical Storm Ike Radar Loop as it moves across the southern plains, CLICK HERE. Navigate anywhere you wish in the nation to street level. Add clouds or lightning if you wish. Click “animate” to loop.

The remnant of Ike will give us a bit of a challenge on Sunday in the Ohio Valley. Late Saturday night the storm had a definite and fairly sound tropical structure with decent banding on radar. The satellite image wasn’t so impressive. The trouble is that the forecast claims that the storm will rapidly lose its tropical characteristics. Question is, when. I find it hard to believe that when its just to the west of Louisville at midday it would have totally gone extra-tropical. We will have windy conditions. We will have a low level jet pouring into the structure. We will have warm moist air. I suspect that we will have a decent condition for some of the banding that produces isolated tornadoes. Not like they had farther

Severe Prediction Center (SPC) Severe Outlook Sunday

Severe Prediction Center (SPC) Severe Outlook Sunday

south…but I think the structure will be enough in tact to allow for some. If you look at the Severe Prediction Center (SPC) outlook, they ride the fence. They give us a 5% probability yet, the discussion sounds a bit more bullish. I won’t be surprised if they make us a slight risk by Sunday. Anyway, its a tough call and needs to be watched closely. The window of opportunity would probably be from around 10 am to 2 pm and thats it as the storm races northeast. Often, in an inland tropical system, you can have low topped cells that do not look particularly menacing. Say, 20K feet. No lightning. And boom…a quick little tornado. Several years ago that happened here. It was Opal or Lilly methinks. The storm center was between Cleveland and Cincinnati. We were well away from any rain…like 300 miles…except for a tiny little cell moving along I-64 from the west. The captain from the Belle of Louisille called in to the NWS and asked if there was a tornado anywhere and the NWS said no…the captain replied “well, I’m looking at one on the river right now.” A warning was issued and the tornado caused some decent damage to several homes. The rain was very very intense. Post analysis was very very difficult to find the tornado on radar…and that was when we knew what we were looking for. Now, that was a very well defined storm still. This one will be deteriorating. But, I still think it may have enough structural intengrity to pose enough of a problem to beware. The Captain of the Belle of Louisville may not be on duty as a weather watcher.

Rain Total Forecast Sun/Mon

Rain Total Forecast Sun/Mon

The weather looks great after that. We get the best chance for general rain after the passage of Ike and the front moves through. If you look at the QPF for Saturday night throug Monday night, you will see that the bulk of the heavy rain should stay to our northwest. Again, the models all say that and I would agree that our best chance for the general rain will be late in the day. But, I still can’t see that Ike will be so fouled up by then that we do not have a risk for passing storms midday Sunday as the remnant moves by. Most people will have less than a half inch of rain, but its possible that those who get an early passing storm may get more than that. It will be cool and cloudy on Monday with lots of sunshine and great conditions for th rest of the week and the Ryder Cup at Valhalla. Friday, Saturday and Sunday should have lows in the low 60′s and highs in the low to mid 80′s.

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

VALID 141200Z – 151200Z

…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS …

…OH VALLEY/ERN GREAT LAKES/HUDSON VALLEY/WRN NEW ENGLAND…
HURRICANE IKE WILL BE ABSORBED INTO A CNTRL U.S. UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
TONIGHT LIKELY BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY.
IKE IS FORECAST BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TO MOVE QUICKLY
NEWD FROM THE MID-MS VALLEY SUNDAY MORNING INTO THE ERN GREAT LAKES
REGION BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WITH A 60 TO 70 KT LOW-LEVEL JET PRESENT JUST EAST OF THE
CENTER. THIS FEATURE WILL CREATE FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES
FOR ROTATING STORMS EMBEDDED IN THE HEAVIER RAINBANDS. AT LEAST A
MARGINAL THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST WITH CONVECTION THAT
DEVELOPS NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL JET FROM SRN IL AND WRN KY SUNDAY
MORNING NEWD INTO OH AND WRN PA BY LATE AFTERNOON.

FURTHER NORTHEAST ACROSS PA…NY AND WRN NEW ENGLAND…LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY AS IKE APPROACHES FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. AHEAD OF IKE…MODEL FORECASTS SHOW AN AXIS OF
INSTABILITY ACROSS PA AND NY WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY IN PLACE
ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY. SFC DEWPOINTS ALONG THIS AXIS SHOULD
BE IN THE LOWER 70S F AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR
VALUES IN THE 50 TO 60 KT RANGE. THIS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADO POTENTIAL AS CONVECTION INITIATES
ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND MOVES ENEWD SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A WIND
DAMAGE THREAT WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BECOME
STEEP IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 09/13/2008

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