Mole Not a Spy, But a Patriot! American Opines Obama is “sort of God” after Russian Says Obama is Gorbachev June 11, 2009

Is This What Evan Thomas Means When He Said Obama is "sort of God?"

A Few Days Ago, we found that a Russian Op-ed piece in Pravda said that President Obama was the American version of Mikhail Gorbachev who was the last communist leader and Premier of the Soviet Union. Now, not necessarily in rebuttle, American editor of Newsweek magazine Evan Thomas says that President Obama is “sort of God.” (text and video) Are these two statements compatible or must we assume that someone is wrong? Either way, the dynamic of opinion regarding our 44th President is very interesting.

Look at this photo carefully. It’s not a drawing. It’s a photo taken from a 70 foot tower On This Date in 1918 by Arthur Mole. He got some 21,000 soldiers at Camp Sherman in Chillicothe, Ohio to stand in formation such that it looked like President Wilson from his perch above. It seems like to me these guys were supposed to be “army training” as Bill Murray said in Stripes. But, somehow they found time to fill in a carefully detailed outline on the ground. Mole then got a megaphone and barked instructions. One soldier was so excited about standing around for the photo that he wrote his mother, “Hey Mom! I was part of President Wilson’s left eyebrow today.” I guess it was a nice diversion to the prospect of going “over there” to fight World War I. Then again, maybe they never went overseas because the war was over by the end of the year and Mole went on to use thousands of soldiers to pose for numerous patriotic pictures. I can hear it now, “what did you do in the Great War, Grandpa?….I stood around and represented a dot on huge human portraits!” It’s kinda silly but kinda cool too. Mole inspired innovative ideas in photography in the 20th century. Here are some other photos that he took…all with soldiers standing in the proper place. Click on each thumbnail to get the full photo. Remember, a lot of this was done in the first quarter of the 20th century.

SPC Convective Outlook Thur to Fri AM

SPC Severe Wind Probability

Weather Bottom Line:  As it turns out, that little appendage that I referred to on Wednesday morning kinda blew up after the sun came up and we had some pretty hefty rain.  Snow White and I had a tree get hit by lightning about 150 feet ahead of us as we pulled into a driveway.  It lit up orangish, reddish, pinkish and a puff of smoke came up from its base.  I went to examine the tree though and found no evidence of a lightning strike.  Good thing for us we were in the Bob Mobile.  But, it does reinforce that its not  a good idea to be running around in the rain.  Lightning is one of the leading weather killers.  Anyway, I saw someone on TV Wednesday night say we may have a rough night due to storms in Indiana.  Well, this person was right but for the wrong reason.  That guy was lifting northeast.  It was the guy down in the bootheel of Missouri that came through as it weakened around 2:30 am that got us.  Decent lightning.  Nit and Wit, my kitties, snuggled up with Snow White and I as they are not too fond of lightning and thunder. 

SPC Severe Hail Probability

You will note on the SPC Convective outlook that our region remains in the slight risk for severe t’storms.  There is one more wave that will move up along the boundary late Thursday and Thursday night.  Possible, but not necessarily probable for us to get some bad stuff.  Guess is that the orientation of the boundary may shift the threat to our southeast.  But, I can certainly see elevated storms being a potential problem with gusty winds being drawn down and hail being an issue.  Afternoon clouds will inhibit stuff but as the shortwave moves through it may initiate activity elsewhere and bring it through.  In fact, I will be surprised if we don’t get at least another round of rain. 

Once the wave moves along, the boundary will get energized in its wake and drift South.  That should give us a decent Friday.  Saturday, some of the models want to introduce some return activity here but I’m going along with the solution that a wave on Saturday is approaching and grabbing the front to bring back toward us from the Southwest.  T’storms late Saturday and into Sunday would be the outlook.  Then, we’re somewhat unsettled again for the first part of next week.

SPC tornado probability

One note….the Canadian model seems to want to create a tropical low and move it into the Gulf in a few days.  The other long range models don’t have that and it would be a bit odd to take a guy through the Yucatan Channel and into the Gulf this time of year.  But its out there.  Doubt its real, but who knows.  A squirrel finds an acorn every now and then.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1139 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2009
  
   VALID 111630Z – 121200Z
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
   TONIGHT FROM N TX ENEWD TO VA…
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR THE
   HIGH PLAINS OF ERN CO/WRN KS…
  
   …MIDDLE TN EWD TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON…
   A WELL-DEFINED MCV IS MOVING EWD OVER MIDDLE TN AS OF LATE MORNING.
   THIS SYSTEM IS ACCOMPANIED BY A NARROW BELT OF 40-50 KT MID LEVEL
   FLOW…AND IS PRECEDED BY A MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
   EXPECT THE CONVECTION WITH THE MCV TO PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON
   WHILE SPREADING EWD OVER ERN TN AND ADJACENT AREAS…WITH A
   CONTINUED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.
   ADDITIONALLY…THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED/BRIEF
   TORNADOES WHERE THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER INTERSECTS AND MOVES EWD
   ALONG A RESIDUAL E-W OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS ERN TN…IN THE WAKE OF
   THE WEAKENING CLUSTER NOW APPROACHING THE BLUE RIDGE.
  
   …S CENTRAL PA SWD INTO CENTRAL VA/NRN NC THIS AFTERNOON…
   THE REMNANTS OF A WEAKENING OVERNIGHT MCS ARE CROSSING THE BLUE
   RIDGE AS OF 16Z…AND THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS SRN
   PA/MD/CENTRAL VA/NRN NC THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.  MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES ARE RATHER POOR OVER THE REGION /AOB 6 C/KM BASED ON 12Z
   SOUNDINGS/…BUT SOME SURFACE HEATING AND A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
   WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID-UPPER 60S WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT
   DESTABILIZATION /MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG FOR SEVERE
   STORMS…ESPECIALLY ACROSS VA AND NC.  THE NWD EXTENT OF THE
   STRONGER DESTABILIZATION COULD BE LIMITED BY PERSISTENT CLOUDS FROM
   NRN VA INTO SRN PA.  MEANWHILE…STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW
   ACCOMPANIES THE REMNANT CONVECTIVE SYSTEM MOVING OVER VA FROM THE
   W…AND IT APPEARS PROBABLE THAT NEW STORMS WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON
   IN A N-S BAND ALONG THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AS IT PROGRESSES
   EWD ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.  DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
   THREAT WITH BOWING SEGMENTS…THOUGH ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO
   BE POSSIBLE.
  
   …NW/N CENTRAL INTO E TX THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT…
   ONGOING CONVECTION IN N/NE TX IS BEING MAINTAINED BY WAA ABOVE THE
   SHALLOW COLD POOL GENERATED BY OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING STORMS.
   THE 12Z FWD SOUNDING SHOWED STRONG ELEVATED INSTABILITY /MUCAPE IN
   EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG/…WHILE OTHER SOUNDINGS TO THE S REVEALED A
   LITTLE STRONGER CAP.  THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE
   SHORT-TERM EVOLUTION OF THE STORMS GIVEN AN EXPECTED WEAKENING OF
   THE SWLY LLJ THAT HAS BEEN FEEDING THIS CONVECTION.
   HOWEVER…DIURNAL WEAKENING OF THE CAP THROUGH DAYTIME HEATING AND
   NEW COLD POOL GENERATION COULD ALSO ALLOW STORMS TO ROOT CLOSER TO
   THE SURFACE AND BEGIN TO PROPAGATE SEWD AS AN MCS WITH DAMAGING
   WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
  
   FARTHER W/NW…A SURFACE COLD FRONT IS SAGGING SWD ACROSS THE TX
   PANHANDLE INTO NW TX…WHERE THE BOUNDARY INTERSECTS THE WWD
   EXTENSION OF THE OUTFLOW FROM THE N TX STORMS.  STRONG SURFACE
   HEATING AND A NARROW CORRIDOR OF UPPER 50S TO MID 60S BOUNDARY LAYER
   DEW POINTS COULD SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS
   AFTERNOON ALONG THE FRONT FROM THE SE TX PANHANDLE ESEWD INTO NW TX.
    DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
   SUPERCELLS…AND A TORNADO OR TWO COULD OCCUR WITH STORMS RIDING
   ESEWD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT WHERE SOMEWHAT
   RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL COINCIDE
   THIS EVENING.
  
   …ERN CO/WRN KS THROUGH TONIGHT…
   MOIST POST-FRONTAL UPSLOPE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CO TODAY AS
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW VEERS TO MORE ELY/SELY IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF
   A MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ENEWD FROM UT/AZ.  LAPSE RATES ARE
   RELATIVELY POOR OVER THE HIGH PLAINS IN THE MOIST ENVIRONMENT…BUT
   DAYTIME HEATING IN CLOUD BREAKS AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS IN THE
   LOW-MID 50S WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG.
   THIS MODEST INSTABILITY…IN COMBINATION WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR
   AOA 50 KT AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR LATER THIS
   AFTERNOON/EVENING…WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW SUPERCELLS FORMING
   JUST E OF THE MOUNTAINS AND MOVING EWD ONTO THE PLAINS OF ERN CO.
   ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MOST COMMON
   THREAT…THOUGH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED THIS
   AFTERNOON/EVENING BEFORE CONVECTION BECOMES SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
   FARTHER E INTO WRN KS.
  
   ..THOMPSON/SMITH.. 06/11/2009

Hope and Change? Russians Say US is Marxist, Obama New Gorbachev! Rapid City 1972 Flood June 9, 2009

Obama the New Gorbachev? Pravda Thinks So. What and Odd Turn of Events

A Few Days ago, we examined whether or not a Marx Brother was in charge of General Motors. Ironically, now the former Soviet official newspaper Pravda, which is now supposedly an independent Russian publication, is saying that President Obama is the US version of the Soviet Union’s Mikhail Gorbachev. Hmmm….Russian comparing the US President to the former Communist Soviet Premier? This is on the heels of Pravda saying deriding the United States for becoming a Marxist Nation. Which Marx Brother are we following, Harpo, Chico, Zeppo or Groucho? When the Berlin Wall fell, do you ever think anyone would have predicted this turn of events?

Much of City Washed Away

On This Date In History:

In June 1972, warm moist air from the Gulf of Mexico made it all the way to South Dakota. A cold front came down and 15 inches of rain fell on the Black Hills in just 6 hours. Now, the Pactola Dam was built in 1952 and it created flood control and a resevoir that made the region much more habitable. Ten miles away, Rapid City grew to nearly 50,000 and a large residential neighborhood sprung up. Trouble was, the neighborhood was situated in the flood plain. On This Date In 1972 after the torrential rains came, a bunch of debris clogged the spillway at the dam. The dam collapsed and water was sent rushing through the neighborhood and through Rapid City. Some 238 people lost their lives that night. Most of the homeowners had no insurance. Today the dam has been rebuilt. I suppose it was an earthen dam in 1972 as it is today. There’s one big difference. There is no residential community in the flood plain any more. Today it’s a golf course. It’s always amazing how when we look back at historical events that what seems like such an obviously stupid idea today was such a good idea back when it was first proposed. It often seems to take a tragedy to wake people from their slumber and remember one of US Grant’s favorite lines: “Man Proposes and God Disposes.”

Here’s a link to a site about the new and improved dam

SPC Convective Outlook for June 10 2009

Weather Bottom Line:  This is an update to similar post earlier.  The story is about the same though the SPC expanded the severe risk area markedly.  I suspect this is in response to the divergence in model solutions as there is a consistency of a strong short rolling around to the north and then that secondary short moving out of the plains and into the region.  But, its very difficult to nail down exactly where the second short will go and even the extent of the northern, stronger short.  Guess here is that the enhanced humidity level, warm conditions and increased instability will lend itself to supporting strong storms wherever the kicker short comes through.  Otherwise, there will be the risk of scattered convectively induced activity.  While I’m still of the mind that the secondary short may be mainly south of our area, I have some concern of the extent of the instability of the northern short.  Further, the secondary short may very a shade from my suspicions and so a variance of say 30 miles at initiation will make a lot of difference downstream.  Tornadic threat would most likely be minimal as support conditions for such activity will probably be limited, but local conditions can always produce some monkeybusiness.  Biggest threat will be for hail and strong winds dragged down from aloft.

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1220 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009
  
   VALID 101200Z – 111200Z
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM TX/OK/KS EWD INTO THE MID
   OH/TN VALLEY REGION…
  
   …SYNOPSIS…
   A BROAD ZONE OF ENHANCED/WSWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO
   CONTINUE EAST OF THE ROCKIES THIS PERIOD…BETWEEN AN UPPER TROUGH
   OVER CENTRAL CANADA AND A RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE WRN GULF OF
   MEXICO.  WITHIN THIS ZONE OF FASTER WSWLY FLOW…SEVERAL SHORT-WAVE
   TROUGHS WILL MIGRATE ENEWD…CONTRIBUTING TO A BROAD ZONE OF
   CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FOCUSED INVOF A SURFACE FRONT FORECAST TO LIE
   FROM THE OH VALLEY REGION WSWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH THE
   PERIOD.
  
   …KS/OK EWD INTO THE MID MS/LOWER OH/TN VALLEYS…
   SOMEWHAT COMPLEX FORECAST THIS PERIOD FROM ERN KS/ERN OK EWD INTO
   THE TN/OH VALLEY REGION…AS AT LEAST TWO EPISODES OF CONVECTION/MCS
   SHOULD SHIFT EWD ACROSS ERN KS/MO AND INTO THE MID MS/LOWER OH/TN
   VALLEY REGION THROUGH THE DAY ONE PERIOD.  SEVERE POTENTIAL –
   PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL — WITH THE ONGOING
   CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS KY/TN AND VICINITY THROUGH
   THE DAY…ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE
   PERIPHERY OF ONGOING STORMS.  MEANWHILE FARTHER W ACROSS SRN MO AND
   INTO ERN KS/ERN OK…QUESTIONS EXIST REGARDING BOTH AIRMASS QUALITY
   AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE SWD/CONVECTIVELY-ALTERED LOCATION OF
   THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS THIS REGION. 
  
   ATTM…IT APPEARS THAT SOME HEATING/DESTABILIZATION MAY OCCUR ACROSS
   SRN MO AND VICINITY…IN THE WAKE OF THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OR
   CLUSTERS WHICH SHOULD BE SHIFTING EWD INTO THE MID MS/TN/OH VALLEYS.
    NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD OCCUR INVOF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WITH
   SOME WWD REDEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET LATER IN THE DAY WITHIN
   THIS REGION OF POTENTIAL DESTABILIZATION.  WITH MODERATELY-STRONG
   DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD…AMPLE INSTABILITY WOULD SUPPORT SEVERE
   STORMS — WITH SUPERCELLS AND/OR LINEARLY-ORGANIZED CONVECTION
   LIKELY.  WHILE A FEW TORNADOES WOULD BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE FRONT IF
   CELLULAR STORM MODE COULD BE MAINTAINED…MORE LIKELY POTENTIAL
   WOULD BE FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL — ESPECIALLY WITH LIKELY
   EVOLUTION INTO A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER/MCS THROUGH THE EVENING. 
  
   …N TX SWWD TOWARD THE TX BIG BEND REGION…
   THE NAM AND GFS DIFFER IN TIMING OF FEATURES MOVING THROUGH MODERATE
   WSWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW…AND THUS IN HANDLING OF THE SURFACE PATTERN
   ACROSS TX.  THE NAM — WITH A WEAK FEATURE PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS W
   TX THROUGH THE AFTERNOON — DEVELOPS A WEAK SURFACE LOW NEAR THE TX
   BIG BEND…AND ASSOCIATED/WEAK SELYS AT THE SURFACE ACROSS PARTS OF
   NRN AND WRN TX.  MEANWHILE…THE GFS PROGS A STRONGER FEATURE TO
   MOVE OUT OF NM AND INTO THE TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK BY LATE AFTERNOON.
   THUS — THE GFS SURFACE LOW RESIDES OVER SWRN OK DURING THE
   AFTERNOON…WITH MUCH MORE VEERED/SWLY SURFACE WINDS S OF THE LOW
   OVER THE WRN HALF OF TX BEHIND AN EWD-MIXING DRYLINE.
  
   THESE DIFFERENCES WOULD RESULT IN A MUCH GREATER SEVERE POTENTIAL IN
   THE NAM SCENARIO…WITH MORE NUMEROUS STORMS DEVELOPING OVER
   PORTIONS OF WRN TX WITHIN A MUCH MORE FAVORABLY-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
    ATTM…WILL LEAN TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION — WHICH WOULD BE FOR A
   LESSER SEVERE THREAT WITH LESS NUMEROUS STORMS DEVELOPING FARTHER E.
    WHILE A 15%/SLIGHT RISK FORECAST WILL BE MAINTAINED…WILL SHIFT
   SEVERE PROBABILITIES SLIGHTLY WWD AS A HEDGE IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
   NAM SCENARIO.
  
   …MID-ATLANTIC REGION…
   MODERATE DESTABILIZATION IS FORECAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION
   AHEAD OF A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH/CONVERGENCE AXIS EXPECTED ACROSS
   VA/NC AND VICINITY.  THOUGH DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD WILL BE
   MODEST…PULSE OR WEAK MULTICELL STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP INVOF THE
   SURFACE TROUGH — ACCOMPANIED BY A LOW-END THREAT FOR HAIL/WIND.
   CONVECTION AND ANY ASSOCIATED SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD GRADUALLY
   DECREASE THROUGH THE EVENING.
  
   ..GOSS.. 06/09/2009

Russian Press: U.S. A Marxist Nation, Obama New Gorbachev; Remember When Rapid City Washed Away? June 9, 2009

Obama the New Gorbachev? Pravda Thinks So. What and Odd Turn of Events

 A Few Days ago, we examined whether or not a Marx Brother was in charge of General Motors. Ironically, now the former Soviet official newspaper Pravda, which is now supposedly an independent Russian publication, is saying that President Obama is the US version of the Soviet Union’s Mikhail Gorbachev. Hmmm….Russian comparing the US President to the former Communist Soviet Premier? This is on the heels of Pravda saying deriding the United States for becoming a Marxist Nation.  Which Marx Brother are we following, Harpo, Chico, Zeppo or Groucho?  When the Berlin Wall fell, do you ever think anyone would have predicted this turn of events?

Much of City Washed Away

On This Date In History:

In June 1972, warm moist air from the Gulf of Mexico made it all the way to South Dakota.  A cold front came down and 15 inches of rain fell on the Black Hills in just 6 hours.  Now, the Pactola Dam was built in 1952 and it created flood control and a resevoir that made the region much more habitable.  Ten miles away, Rapid City grew to nearly 50,000 and a large residential neighborhood sprung up.  Trouble was, the neighborhood was situated in the flood plain.  On This Date In 1972 after the torrential rains came, a bunch of debris clogged the spillway at the dam.   The dam collapsed and water was sent rushing through the neighborhood and through Rapid City.  Some 238 people lost their lives that night.  Most of the homeowners had no insurance.  Today the dam has been rebuilt.  I suppose it was an earthen dam in 1972 as it is today.  There’s one big difference.  There is no residential community in the flood plain any more.  Today it’s a golf course.  It’s always amazing how when we look back at historical events that what seems like such an obviously stupid idea today was such a good idea back when it was first proposed.  It often seems to take a tragedy to wake people from their slumber and remember one of US Grant’s favorite lines: “Man Proposes and God Disposes.”

Here’s a link to a site about the new and improved dam

SPC Convective Outlook June 10, 2009

Weather Bottom Line:  The strong storms that the SPC was looking for near our area did stay together on Monday evening.  But, they tracked south toward Paducah.  Snow White and I took the time to scull on Monday and my friend Bob Crane was on hand to watch me get all bent out of shape because the foot pads were in the wrong place and my seat kept coming off the runners.  Snow White chastised me for my choice of verbiage, which I also used when I almost tipped over on the river when the waves picked up.  Bob Crane laughed and the turtles were silent.

With humidity levels increasing, we may get an isolated t’storm or two on Tuesday afternoon.  But,  Wednesday,  there will be a shortwave wandering through the flow from the plains.  The track of the short will be the key but it is possible that we may see an enhanced risk for t’storms.  Preliminarily, the SPC has us in the slight risk area.  Won’t be surprised to see it miss us to the south and be in a fading mode, as the Canadian and GFS 12Z model runs suggest.  However, the NAM creates a huge shortwave right over  the top of us which means on Wednesday night we’d get some action.   I’m a little skeptical though because the NAM’s solution has this thing blowing up late in the day instead of fading.  Nevertheless, it is worth noting and watching. 

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0225 AM CDT MON JUN 08 2009
  
   VALID 101200Z – 111200Z
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN PLNS TO THE OH
   VLY…
  
   …SYNOPSIS…
   SPLIT FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE TO FEATURE A SRN STREAM TROUGH
   ACROSS THE GRT BASIN/SWRN STATES AND PROMINENT NRN BRANCH UPR LOW
   ALONG THE NRN TIER OF THE COUNTRY.  A FAIRLY INTENSE SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH EMANATING FROM THE FORMER FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO TRAVEL
   ACROSS THE CNTRL PLNS…PHASING WITH THE NRN UPR LOW BY WEDNESDAY
   AFTN/EVE.  RESULTANT BAND OF MODEST HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD ENE
   ALONG A SFC BAROCLINIC ZONE THAT SHOULD RESIDE FROM THE SRN PLNS TO
   THE OH VLY REGION.  THIS REGION WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR EPISODIC TSTM
   CLUSTERS…SOME SVR FOR THE MID-WEEK PD.
  
   …SRN PLNS TO THE OH VLY…
   ELEVATED TSTM CLUSTERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
   THE MID-SOUTH/MID-MS VLY AT 12Z WED.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY
   SPREAD DOWNSTREAM INTO THE MID-OH VLY WITH TIME.  SVR THREAT WILL
   LIKELY DEVELOP UPSTREAM WEDNESDAY AFTN/EVE WHERE PERSISTENT SSWLY
   LLJ TRANSPORTS A WARM/UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER NWD INTO THE MID-MS
   VLY AND SRN PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST.  AT THE SAME TIME…RELATIVELY
   WARM MID-LVL TEMPERATURES WILL SPREAD DOWNSTREAM IN THE WARM
   SECTOR…PROVIDING A CAP.
  
   WHILE HEATING ALONE MAY NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO BREAK THE CAP…AS
   AFOREMENTIONED HEIGHTS FALLS SPREAD ENE…TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM
   INVOF A SFC LOW/FRONT FROM IL/IND BY MID-AFTN…THEN EXPAND SWWD
   ACROSS THE OZARK PLATEAU AND EVENTUALLY PARTS OF OK.  OTHER STORMS
   MAY FORM SWD ALONG THE DRYLINE INTO PARTS OF NWRN/WCNTRL TX.
   PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED
   SVR STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS.  ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
   ENE ACROSS THE OH VLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR
   HIGH WINDS/HAIL. 
  
   FLOW ALOFT REMAINS SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC WEDNESDAY NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY
   ACROSS THE SRN PLNS.  HERE…WSWLY LLVL FLOW WILL FEED ANY TSTM
   CLUSTERS WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH BACKBUILDING/ELEVATED STORMS
   POSSIBLY CONTAINING HAIL.
  
   ..RACY.. 06/08/2009