The general forecast as presented all week is holding. Friday, we have a boundary approaching. As we warm to the upper 70′s to low 80′s, there may be some scattered showers or t’storms wandering through in the afternoon ahead of the main action. So, there will be a chance for something to pass over Churchill Downs from time to time in the afternoon. Then again, if something pops up, it may not affect the downs at all. The main line will be to our west during the afternoon heating and so that is where the best chance for severe weather will be…let’s say St. Louis to Evansville to Little Rock to Memphis. The line would move through here overnight on Friday into early Saturday. There will be some dynamic wind energy to support the storms but not nearly as impressive as the presentation of earlier indices.
The SPC has the slight risk for the western half of the viewing area I suspect largely in case some of the storms hold together but as they progress east they should diminish in punch. Mostly likely we will have some thunder and lightning and some gusty winds but nothing overly disconcerting. I would probably be more concerned with one or two of the isolated guys in the afternoon getting a bit out of hand than the line overnight. It’s not out of the question for one or two afternoon guys may be up to no good if we can diminish the cap. I suspect that the cap will reassert itself for the overnight hours.
Rain for the first part of Saturday as the boundary moves east out of the area. Now, this boundary isn’t really the cold front. You’ll be able to tell because the winds will still be out of the Southwest. Temperatures will be comfortable. Now, as the vortlobe swings around the main storm to our north, that will be the real front. It comes through in the afternoon and may produce some scattered activity in the afternoon on Derby Day. There is nothing to indicate anything worthwhile. All of the dynamics will be out of the area. Bottom line is that the first part of Derby Day there will be lingering rain. Overnight rain totals won’t be all that excessive but the infield will most likely be wet. Should be interesting. Afternoon stuff shouldn’t be too impressive but a passing shower can’t be ruled out.
I used to deal Black Jack at the fraternity house. Here’s the advice that I gave my brethren: Bet Big, Win Big. They took my advice and most of my weekend activities were paid for. So, take my gambling advice at your own risk.
On This Date In History: Confederate General Stonewall Jackson took one for the team on May 2, 1863. Trouble was it was his own team that took him down. The night after his greatest victory at Chancellorsville, Jackson led a recon mission and as he returned to his lines, his own men shot him. His arm was shattered and the surgeon amputated it. The next day they buried his arm complete with a headstone that reads, “Arm of Stonewall Jackson May 3, 1863.” To hold down Jackson’s fever, the general ordered a servant put cold, wet towels over his body. A week later, Jackson died of pneumonia. They buried most of him about 100 miles away near Lexington, Virginia…and 100 miles from his arm. It’s possible that he would have survived had they not put cold towels on his body. One might say that Jackson’s arm got taken out by his soldiers and the rest of him went at the hands of his servants.
Good Housekeeping magazine was founded on this date in 1885. It was one of several ladies magazines that got started between 1880 and 1890. But…it’s the only one that has a segment today on WLKY Newschannel 32! (shameless plug)
What you see here is from The Cowboys John Wayne is whipping up on Bruce Dern. Right after this part, the Duke gets shot in the back by Dern. It’s one of the most despicable moments in cinematic history. I’m watching it right now. Dern is forever cast as one of the most low down vermin in my book. I cannot continue.