Cops Called to McDonalds Over Lost Orange Juice. GM Bankruptcy and Here Come the Brides
May 29, 2009

New Chairman of General Motors?

New Chairman of General Motors?

Where’s My Orange Juice? I’m calling the Cops!! We recently had a story of a Texas woman who called 911 because the fast foot joint she went to didn’t have enough shrimp on her order as she thought that she deserved. (story I want my shrimp) Now, we have an Oregon man who ordered a meal at a drive through line at McDonalds. (Orange Juice Story with Video) He was supposed to have a box of orange juice and the clerk neglected to include it. If something like that happens to me, I drive back and go back to the store to retrieve the missing item. Not this guy. He called 911 arguing somehow that this is a case of freedom of speech. Are we becoming a society of whiners that if we don’t get our way, instead of finding a resolution on our own that we need to call government authorities to save us?

Maybe Harpo Is The New Chief

Maybe Harpo Is The New Chief

GM filing for Bankruptcy:  On May 15, 2009 the New York Post reported that the original proposal from GM to reorganize was for the labor unions to get 39% of the new company, the Federal Government to get about 50% control and existing shareholders would get the rest.  If you were one of the bondholders, those who took the risk to finance the $27 billion in debt, you would get way less than the 10% stake in the company that you hoped for.  More recently, the reports have the new deal sporting an 18% stake by the labor unions and the US and Canadian governments gaining a 70% stake in the company with Uncle Sam receiving the lion’s share.  Again, bond holders would get pennies on the dollar.  Today, it was announced that GM would become the largest company in history to file for bankruptcy.  It will be interesting to see what the final outcome will be.  But one thing appears certain and that is that the workers and union will own the vast majority of the new GM.  President Obama says he’s not into socialism and that he has no interest in the government running the auto companies. 

Chico at GM Helm?

Chico at GM Helm?

He’s fired the head of General Motors, as would be the right of the person or entity in charge and now the government will take a huge stake in the company, labor will own the next largest stake and those who used their private money to invest will get nearly nothing.  Perhaps the long term plan is operating on the assumption that, over time, the stock price will rise and Uncle Sam will then divest itself of GM at a tidy profit.  FDR did something similar to this and the goverment did in fact eventually make a profit.  But, no one has publically stated this is the plan.  I suspect that is the objective but it should not come at the expense of private investors.  And besides, do you really think the Taxpayers will get a return of the profits? Not directly, of course, but the government will retain the return on the investment.   A potential consequence of this and the actions of the government taking control of the banks is that other nations look to the US as the proverbial “beacon on the hill.”  In recent years, other governments have decided it was best to back off of government control of businesses but, now that they see the US government changing relationship with capitalism and free markets, they perhaps will or are reconsidering their move toward freedom and back toward their old ways.  So, we’ll have the government and the workers owning GM.

UAW Black Lake Golf Course Clubhouse

UAW Black Lake Golf Course Clubhouse

The Wall Street Journal on May 21 reported that the UAW has $1.2 billion in assets.  At the end of 2007, $871 million was in the strike fund.  But, it also included a $3 million townhouse in Washington, DC and a $33 million golf course and resort on a lake.  Now they will be able to add about a 1/5 interest in an auto manufacturer that gets propped up by the American taxpayer.  Workers unite and fight those fat cats who live in million dollar homes and belong to country clubs!  If ideals were followed, then the adage of President Lincoln would apply which is that “a house divided against itelf cannot stand.”  Nevertheless, ideals and reality sometimes seem to be at odds. 

On This Date In History:  Asa Mercer was already the president of Washington Territory’s first university by the time he was in his mid twenties.  The Pacific Northwest had great natural resources attracting miners and lumbermen from around the nation.  But…there was a scarcity of women.  Mercer decided to fix that by placing an ad in a Seattle newspaper promising to find a wife for every man who paid $300 toward bringing a woman from the East.  A New York magazine hailed Mercer as a modern day Moses.  Skeptics suggested that the women would have nothing to do and their trade would be something less than honorable.  Mercer assured that the ladies would be employed as schoolmistresses and nothing more.  Those same skeptics wondered how they could all be school teachers if there were no children to teach.

Joan Blondell Well Before Her Role On Brides

Joan Blondell Well Before Her Role On Brides

Nevetheless, Mercer sailed a ship from Seattle and found he had some 300 adventurous ladies willing to take the trip.  However, by the time he was to set sail from New England, in January 1866, the number of volunteers had fallen to 100.  I guess they had second thoughts.  Those on board became even more fickle when they began romancing with the ships’s crew.  When they stopped in Chile, many became enamoured with the military officer’s stationed at Lota, Chile.  Apparently, one of Mercer’s ladies rode a spirited pony to the delight of onlookers such that 17 proposed marriage.   So, now Mercer had to deal with women who didn’t want to leave the crew and others who didn’t want to leave their Chilean suitors.  So, he set sail at night and secretly stole away…to keep his cargo from getting stolen away.  When they got to San Francisco, he lost 11 who got off and never returned.

On This Date in 1866, Asa Mercer arrived in Seattle with what was left of his precious cargo.  Many of the subscribers who had paid $300 were chagrined when they found out that their payment didn’t guarantee a woman.  One man was quite upset when the specific woman whom he had asked for showed up and turned out to be a different woman by the same name.  Undeterred, the man said, “All I want is a wife, and if you are willin’ I would as soon take you as the other woman.”  Such romantic overtones went unheeded as the woman replied simply, “I do not wish to marry, sir.”

It wasn’t a total disaster for the operation or for Asa Mercer.  Annie Stephens from Baltimore was one of the first to be married.  Her husband?  Asa Mercer.

Brown (top left) and Leonard (top right) Star Trek Veterans; Blondell (top center) Former Hollywood Siren

Brown (top left) and Leonard (top right) Star Trek Veterans; Blondell (top center) Former Hollywood Siren

This little tale was no doubt the inspiration for the late 1960′s TV show, Here Come the Brides.  The photo above is of the Bolt brothers, Jeremy, Joshua and Jason as well as Candy, a girl with whom Jeremy was smitten.  Jeremy was played by Bobby Sherman, who was a teen idol.  His acting career went no where and after watching the tv show, you might find out why.  He tried his hand at singing and that too went nowhere.  Joshua was played by David Soul who later was one of the rogue young cops in Magnum Force.  I think Clint helped him exit the movie violently.  Later he gained fame for his role in Starsky and Hutch.  He capitalized  on that fame by singing a stupid song that was in the top 40.  Jason Bolt was played by Robert Brown who was an accomplished stage actor.  He is known perhaps more by his role in a Star Trek episode in which he played a guy named Lazarus.  I think that was the last we saw of him. Maybe he got the Star Trek gig by way of Mark Lenard, who plays Sarek in the 23rd century but was Aaron Stemple in Seattle in the 19th Century.  I have no idea who Candy was nor what happened to her.

I want to know what happened to Captain Clancy.  It seems to me that aside from Lenard and Soul, Here Come the Brides was the graveyard for actors though it was a pretty accurate show because, like the Asa Mercer story, it didn’t seem there were too many marriages.

(Snow White thinks I am too hard on Bobby Sherman in this…I told you he was a teen idol)

SPC Convective Outlook For May 30, 2009

SPC Convective Outlook For May 30, 2009

SPC: 15% probability of Severe Weather Saturday

SPC: 15% probability of Severe Weather Saturday

Weather Bottom Line:  There has been talk out there from some place of some terrible weather on Saturday.  Don’t fall for it.  It’s possible that we could get some interesting storms but there is no support at all from the data to suggest any major tornado outbreak or anything like that.  To our Northwest, there will be a dynamical set up that should induce  stronger t’storms.  There is even an indication from the GFS that a small shortwave comes down our way from that region late in the day on Saturday.  Because of this feature, the GFS is doing what it always seems to do and that provide a forecast of the vertical indicies to be pretty healthy, but not really the SWEAT index too much or others that would suggest tornadic activity.  What it does show would be the potential for hail.  I think its the greatest threat should this materialize.  That would also have a fair amount of lightning and even maybe some strong wind gusts.  It only throws out a half inch of rain.  The NAM is putting out over 1.6 inches of rain and even carries light rain through Saturday night and early Sunday.  The truth will probably be in between with maybe some t’storms in the afternoon though not overly troublesome but also, not with as much rain.   Nevertheless, the threat of severe weather is sufficient enough in the eyes of the SPC to put out a slight risk for our area.  I find most curious the mention of potential isolated supercells and a tornado threat. 

Otherwise, the pleasant Friday temperatures will generally hold through the weekend and then we get hot and humid for early next week with highs pushing toward 90 and the moisture getting somewhat uncomfortable and overnight lows not so low.

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1222 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2009
  
   VALID 301200Z – 311200Z
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS KY…MIDDLE TN…SW OH…SRN
   IND…IL…NRN MO AND FAR NE KS…
  
   …LOWER OH VALLEY/MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY…
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS WILL REMAIN IN
   PLACE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A 60 TO 75 KT MID-LEVEL JET MOVES SEWD
   INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. AT THE SFC…A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD
   BE LOCATED FROM NRN MO ESEWD ACROSS SRN IL INTO CNTRL KY SATURDAY.
   GFS/NAM/NAMKF AND SREF MODEL FORECASTS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
   LATE SATURDAY MORNING WITH A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ACROSS
   IL…SRN IND AND WRN KY IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF THE MID-LEVEL
   JET. CONVECTION WITH THIS FEATURE OR NEW STORMS THAT DEVELOP SOUTH
   OF THE CLUSTER SHOULD MOVE SEWD ALONG THE BOUNDARY ACROSS CNTRL KY
   DURING THE AFTERNOON. A CONSENSUS OF FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN CNTRL KY
   AT 21Z SATURDAY SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH 40 TO 50 KT OF
   VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGESTING THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR A
   SEVERE THREAT WITH THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER. AT THIS TIME…CONVECTIVE
   MODE REMAINS QUESTIONABLE. IF ISOLATED SUPERCELLS CAN
   ORGANIZE…THEN LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. IF
   LINE-SEGMENTS ARE FAVORED…THEN THE PREDOMINANT THREAT COULD BE
   WIND DAMAGE. ANOTHER UNCERTAINTY IS THE TIMING OF THE CONVECTIVE
   SYSTEM. IF THE TIMING IS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON WHEN INSTABILITY IS
   MAXIMIZED…THEN THE SEVERE THREAT COULD BE MORE SUBSTANTIAL.
  
   FURTHER WEST ACROSS NRN MO…MODEL FORECASTS DEVELOPS STRONG
   INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE VALUES RANGING FROM 2000 TO 3000 J/KG.
   ALTHOUGH FORCING WILL BE WEAKER ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN NRN
   MO…LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND SFC HEATING COULD HELP INITIATE A FEW
   STORMS. THE STRONG INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH 30 TO 40 KT OF VERTICAL
   SHEAR EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOULD BE ADEQUATE FOR AN
   ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
  
   …LOWER MICHIGAN…
   AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS ONTARIO SATURDAY
   AS A 70 TO 85 KT MID-LEVEL JET SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW MOVES INTO THE
   WRN GREAT LAKES. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE…A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE
   SEWD ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE DAY WITH THE MODELS DEVELOPING
   THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY SHOULD BE
   RELATIVELY WEAK ACROSS LOWER MI SATURDAY AFTERNOON…FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SHOW ABOUT 50 KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR. THIS ALONG WITH COLD
   AIR ALOFT /500 MB TEMPS AROUND -20 C/ SHOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF HAIL
   WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS.
  
   …SRN FL PENINSULA…
   A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE SWD ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA
   SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
   BOUNDARY DURING THE AFTERNOON MAINLY FROM LAKE OKEECHOBEE TO THE
   SOUTH. WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S F…MODERATE TO
   STRONG INSTABILITY SHOULD BE PRESENT. IN ADDITION…FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS AT 21Z SATURDAY IN SRN FL SHOW ABOUT 30 KT OF VERTICAL
   SHEAR. THIS COMBINED WITH 20 TO 25 KT OF WLY FLOW AT 850 MB COULD BE
   ENOUGH FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS.
  
   …NRN CA/SRN ORE/NW NV…
   AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE NWRN
   STATES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ON THE WRN SIDE OF THE
   RIDGE IN THE SIERRAS AND IN THE CASCADES OF CNTRL ORE BY AFTERNOON
   AS SFC TEMPS WARM. IN SPITE OF THE WEAK MID-LEVEL FLOW /20 KTS OR
   LESS/…MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STEEP LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE ENOUGH
   FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT NEAR PEAK HEATING.
  
   ..BROYLES.. 05/29/2009

911: I Want My Shrimp! Bad Real Estate Investor
April 9, 2009

Don't Buy Real Estate From This Man!

Don't Buy Real Estate From This Man!

Only One Shrimp? Call the Cops!

Only Three Shrimp? Call the Cops!

I want my Shrimp!  This is great and also silly at the same time.  So, this lady goes into a fast food place and orders extra shrimp with her fried rice.  She claims that she didn’t get her shrimp.  She argues with the manager and calls the cops demanding her extra shrimp.  Here’s the story with audio of the call for your amusement.

On This Date in History:  Wilmer McLean was a Virginia grocer.  He probably did fairly well at his craft.  But, he didn’t have much luck when it came to real estate.  See, he had a patch of land not too far from the nation’s capital.  The first major conflict of the Civil War was known as the Battle of Bull run and it took place on McLean’s land.  Not only that, but Confederate General P.G.T. Beauregard thought that the McLean house would make a good headquarters, so he comandeered it.  The land was ravaged by the warfare and the house took a beating as a Union cannonball came crashing through the kitchen. 

Lee's Table Not as Valuable as Grant's

Lee's Table Not as Valuable as Grant's

After the battle, McLean hung on but gave up a year later when the entire episode was repeated during the Second Battle of Bull Run.  McLean picked up his family and moved to a small town some miles away. 

After a couple of years, McLean thought he’d made a good move until this date in 1865.  See, Generaly Ulysses S. Grant had gotten General Robert E. Lee to abandon Petersburg and Lee’s army was on the run until finally, Lee sent Colonel Charles Marshall to find an appropriate site for a conference between the two army’s commanders near the small town of Appomattox Courthouse, Virginia which was some miles from the old McLean house.  The first person that Marshall came upon was none other than Wilmer McLean.  McLean first steered the colonel to an abandoned house with no furniture in it.  Colonel Marshall quickly dismissed the idea.  McLean felt like it was all but inevitable that the war had reached out and grabbed him again so he offered his home. 

Parlor In Lower Left Hand Room

Parlor In Lower Left Hand Room

On that afternoon, General Robert E. Lee signed the articles of surrender to General Ulysses S. Grant in the front parlor of the McLean home and effectively ended the Civil War, though some skirmishes would go on for several days.  Now, this was a pretty historic occasion and the soldiers on hand knew it.  They wanted a piece of history.  Union General Edward O.C. Ord gave McLean $40 for the table at which Grant had sat.  Another Union General, either Philip Sheridan or George A. Custer, got a good deal by  acquiring the table at which Lee sat for just $25.  At that point, McLean figured he needed his furniture and brought an end to the impromtu rummage sale.  But, less honorable individuals would have none of it.  Chairs were broken up, upholstery ripped and the parlor was torn to pieces as if another cannonball had ripped through.  Once again, Wilmer McLean had been touched by Civil War history…and his house took a beating.  Maybe he should have moved to Texas. 

Bear More Valuable Than Jesus?

Bear More Valuable Than Jesus?

The selling of the Grant table for more than the Lee table reminds me of when I lived in Birmingham.  I once went into an art store.  On some shelves were busts.  Confederate General Nathan Bedford Forrest went for $500.  Robert E. Lee and Jesus Christ went for $550.  Bear Bryant?  He went for $600!    Yes indeed, it’s the bible belt and they love Robert E. Lee and Jesus, but you better not schedule a church social when Alabama football has a game!

 

Thu 8am to Fri 8am

Thu 8am to Fri 8am

Weather Bottom Line:  The weather situtation looks pretty much on track.  We still have a lead short coming out for Thursday and Friday.  Earlier I had made mention of this and thought it looked like trouble a week ago.  But, I kinda backed off as I got swayed a bit by the SPC assessment, plus the main bit of energy for the latter part of the weekend looked like the real thing.  But, as the week progressed, the indecies started coming back up for Friday and now the SPC has jumped on board by putting us in a slight risk.  What we have is two chances.  First a warm front comes through early Friday morning.  That would be one chance for strong storms.  Then after a break, the cold front comes through and we have a second chance.  The GFS has backed off somewhat on its wild indecies but they are still impressive for the afternoon while teh ETA remains less enthusiastic.  My guess is that our biggest risk will be hail and gusty winds with hail more risky with the warm front.  Now, everyone has been pooh poohing the main energy and I have to tell you that the vertical profile indecies look pretty pedestrian for Monday.  But,  when you look at the map, I’m not sure why the indecies are not more enthusiastic.  I’m not analyzing this that closely but, if the indecies are so bland, there must be some items missing whether it be CAPE or shear or the proper veering…perhaps there is some dry air or warm air aloft messing things up.  It appears to be all of the above as simply we get some cooler air for the weekend following the lead short and there simply isn’t enough time for the atmosphere to reload.  I still am a little curious as to how the second part shakes out.  We’ll just have to wait and see but I can’t ignore that the data does not support anything worthwhile on Monday.  So bottom line is risk for storms late Thursday night or early Friday and then again Friday afternoon with cooler weather for the weekend.

Fri 8am to Sat 8am

Fri 8am to Sat 8am

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1216 PM CDT THU APR 09 2009
  
   VALID 101200Z – 111200Z
  
   …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF THE OH AND TN
   VALLEY SWD INTO THE CNTRL/ERN GULF STATES AND EWD INTO THE
   CAROLINAS…
  
   …SYNOPSIS…
  
   AN AMPLIFIED BUT PROGRESSIVE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL BE MAINTAINED
   OVER THE CONUS THROUGH THE DAY TWO PERIOD.  THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF
   INTEREST WILL BE MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW WHICH WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND
   EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE WHILE TRANSLATING EWD FROM THE OZARK
   PLATEAU AND LOWER MS VALLEY TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY SATURDAY
   MORNING.  AS THIS PROCESS OCCURS…LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
   THAT AN UPSTREAM VORTICITY MAXIMUM/JET STREAK WILL ROTATE THROUGH
   THE MEAN TROUGH BASE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY INTO VA/NC FRIDAY
   AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.  THIS ERN U.S. WAVE WILL PRECEED A MORE
   INTENSE TROUGH WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY FORM INTO A CLOSED SYSTEM OVER
   THE LOWER CO VALLEY INTO NRN BAJA AND THE GULF OF CA.
  
   IN THE LOW LEVELS…SURFACE CYCLONE NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MS/OH
   RIVERS AT 10/12Z WILL DEVELOP ENEWD ACROSS NRN KY AND SRN
   WV…EVENTUALLY REACHING THE DELMARVA BY 11/12Z.  ATTENDANT COLD
   FRONT WILL PUSH EWD THROUGH THE TN VALLEY AND GULF STATES TO ALONG
   THE MID/SERN ATLANTIC COASTS BY SATURDAY MORNING.
  
   …OH/TN VALLEYS INTO THE CNTRL/ERN GULF STATES AND EWD TO THE
   CAROLINAS…
  
   EML/STEEP LAPSE RATE PLUME OBSERVED OVER THE SRN PLAINS THIS MORNING
   WILL BE ADVECTED EWD INTO THE REGION WITH WSWLY AIRFLOW
   REGIME…ALONG SRN THROUGH ERN PERIPHERIES OF MIDLEVEL TROUGH.
   WHILE WARM SECTOR BOUNDARY LAYER WILL NOT BE OVERLY MOIST /I.E.
   DEWPOINTS IN 50S OVER KY/TN TO LOWER/MID 60S OVER THE GULF
   STATES/…THESE STEEP LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH GENERALLY COOL
   MIDLEVEL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL YIELD MLCAPE APPROACHING
   1000-1500 J/KG OVER THE TN VALLEY/CUMBERLAND PLATEAU…TO 1500-2000
   J/KG OVER THE CNTRL/ERN GULF STATES.
  
   TSTMS /SOME SEVERE/ ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING FRIDAY MORNING WITHIN
   ZONE OF DEEP ASCENT AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER OH
   AND LOWER MS VALLEYS…AS WELL AS WITHIN WAA REGIME FARTHER E ACROSS
   PARTS OF ERN TN/AL/NRN GA.  THE FORMER ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE
   IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON
   ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT FROM CNTRL KY/MIDDLE TN SWD INTO AL AS
   STRONGER FORCING/HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH SECONDARY VORTICITY
   MAXIMUM ACT ON DESTABILIZING AIR MASS. 
  
   GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATES/MODERATE INSTABILITY AND DEEP-LAYER
   SHEAR RANGING FROM 30-40 KT INVOF SURFACE LOW OVER KY TO 50-65 KT
   INTO MS/AL/GA…ENVIRONMENT WILL BE QUITE SUPPORTIVE OF EMBEDDED
   SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
   CURRENTLY…IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST
   ACROSS MIDDLE/ERN TN INTO NRN PARTS OF AL/GA AND PERHAPS AS FAR E AS
   WRN SC FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.  HERE…REINTENSIFICATION OF A
   SWLY LLJ WILL OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO ABOVE-MENTIONED…SECONDARY
   VORTICITY MAXIMUM RESULTING IN NOTABLY STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
   /I.E. 0-1 KM SHEAR APPROACHING 30-35 KT/.  SHOULD FUTURE NUMERICAL
   GUIDANCE AND OBSERVATIONAL DATA CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A SIMILAR
   THREAT…A MODERATE RISK MAY BE REQUIRED IN SUBSEQUENT DAY ONE
   OUTLOOKS.
  
   PRE-FRONTAL CLUSTERS/BANDS OF SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY
   NIGHT EWD THROUGH THE CNTRL/SRN APPALACHIANS AND PIEDMONT…
   EVENTUALLY INTO THE COASTAL PLAINS.  WHILE INSTABILITY WILL TEND TO
   DIMINISH WITH TIME…A STRONGLY SHEARED KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL
   CONTINUE TO FAVOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND/OR BOWING STRUCTURES WILL
   THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS…HAIL AND PERHAPS TORNADOES.
  
   ..MEAD.. 04/09/2009

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