A Few Days ago, we examined whether or not a Marx Brother was in charge of General Motors. Ironically, now the former Soviet official newspaper Pravda, which is now supposedly an independent Russian publication, is saying that President Obama is the US version of the Soviet Union’s Mikhail Gorbachev. Hmmm….Russian comparing the US President to the former Communist Soviet Premier? This is on the heels of Pravda saying deriding the United States for becoming a Marxist Nation. Which Marx Brother are we following, Harpo, Chico, Zeppo or Groucho? When the Berlin Wall fell, do you ever think anyone would have predicted this turn of events?
On This Date In History:
In June 1972, warm moist air from the Gulf of Mexico made it all the way to South Dakota. A cold front came down and 15 inches of rain fell on the Black Hills in just 6 hours. Now, the Pactola Dam was built in 1952 and it created flood control and a resevoir that made the region much more habitable. Ten miles away, Rapid City grew to nearly 50,000 and a large residential neighborhood sprung up. Trouble was, the neighborhood was situated in the flood plain. On This Date In 1972 after the torrential rains came, a bunch of debris clogged the spillway at the dam. The dam collapsed and water was sent rushing through the neighborhood and through Rapid City. Some 238 people lost their lives that night. Most of the homeowners had no insurance. Today the dam has been rebuilt. I suppose it was an earthen dam in 1972 as it is today. There’s one big difference. There is no residential community in the flood plain any more. Today it’s a golf course. It’s always amazing how when we look back at historical events that what seems like such an obviously stupid idea today was such a good idea back when it was first proposed. It often seems to take a tragedy to wake people from their slumber and remember one of US Grant’s favorite lines: “Man Proposes and God Disposes.”
Weather Bottom Line: The strong storms that the SPC was looking for near our area did stay together on Monday evening. But, they tracked south toward Paducah. Snow White and I took the time to scull on Monday and my friend Bob Crane was on hand to watch me get all bent out of shape because the foot pads were in the wrong place and my seat kept coming off the runners. Snow White chastised me for my choice of verbiage, which I also used when I almost tipped over on the river when the waves picked up. Bob Crane laughed and the turtles were silent.
With humidity levels increasing, we may get an isolated t’storm or two on Tuesday afternoon. But, Wednesday, there will be a shortwave wandering through the flow from the plains. The track of the short will be the key but it is possible that we may see an enhanced risk for t’storms. Preliminarily, the SPC has us in the slight risk area. Won’t be surprised to see it miss us to the south and be in a fading mode, as the Canadian and GFS 12Z model runs suggest. However, the NAM creates a huge shortwave right over the top of us which means on Wednesday night we’d get some action. I’m a little skeptical though because the NAM’s solution has this thing blowing up late in the day instead of fading. Nevertheless, it is worth noting and watching.
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 AM CDT MON JUN 08 2009
VALID 101200Z – 111200Z
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN PLNS TO THE OH
SPLIT FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE TO FEATURE A SRN STREAM TROUGH
ACROSS THE GRT BASIN/SWRN STATES AND PROMINENT NRN BRANCH UPR LOW
ALONG THE NRN TIER OF THE COUNTRY. A FAIRLY INTENSE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH EMANATING FROM THE FORMER FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO TRAVEL
ACROSS THE CNTRL PLNS…PHASING WITH THE NRN UPR LOW BY WEDNESDAY
AFTN/EVE. RESULTANT BAND OF MODEST HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD ENE
ALONG A SFC BAROCLINIC ZONE THAT SHOULD RESIDE FROM THE SRN PLNS TO
THE OH VLY REGION. THIS REGION WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR EPISODIC TSTM
CLUSTERS…SOME SVR FOR THE MID-WEEK PD.
…SRN PLNS TO THE OH VLY…
ELEVATED TSTM CLUSTERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MID-SOUTH/MID-MS VLY AT 12Z WED. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY
SPREAD DOWNSTREAM INTO THE MID-OH VLY WITH TIME. SVR THREAT WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP UPSTREAM WEDNESDAY AFTN/EVE WHERE PERSISTENT SSWLY
LLJ TRANSPORTS A WARM/UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER NWD INTO THE MID-MS
VLY AND SRN PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST. AT THE SAME TIME…RELATIVELY
WARM MID-LVL TEMPERATURES WILL SPREAD DOWNSTREAM IN THE WARM
SECTOR…PROVIDING A CAP.
WHILE HEATING ALONE MAY NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO BREAK THE CAP…AS
AFOREMENTIONED HEIGHTS FALLS SPREAD ENE…TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM
INVOF A SFC LOW/FRONT FROM IL/IND BY MID-AFTN…THEN EXPAND SWWD
ACROSS THE OZARK PLATEAU AND EVENTUALLY PARTS OF OK. OTHER STORMS
MAY FORM SWD ALONG THE DRYLINE INTO PARTS OF NWRN/WCNTRL TX.
PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED
SVR STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS. ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
ENE ACROSS THE OH VLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR
FLOW ALOFT REMAINS SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC WEDNESDAY NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY
ACROSS THE SRN PLNS. HERE…WSWLY LLVL FLOW WILL FEED ANY TSTM
CLUSTERS WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH BACKBUILDING/ELEVATED STORMS
POSSIBLY CONTAINING HAIL.